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. 2020 Jan 6;71(8):e338–e350. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciz1221

Table 5.

Reclassification Among Household Contacts of Patients With Pulmonary Tuberculosis, Comparing the TB-Incident Model Risk Score to Saunders Risk Score

Saunders Risk Score TB-Incident Model Risk Score
Low Risk (≤ 5) Medium Risk (6–10) High Risk (≥ 11) Total
Contacts who developed incident TB within 1 year
 Low risk 31 (62.0) 13  (26.0) 6 (12.0) 50
 Medium risk

11

 

(15.5)

41

 

(57.7)

19 (26.8)

71
 High risk

0

 

(0.0)

8

 

(33.3)

16 (66.7) 24
 Total 42 62 41 145
Contacts who did not develop incident TB within 1 year
 Low risk 3621 (83.9) 609 (14.1) 88 (2.0) 4318
 Medium risk 939 (38.7) 1211 (49.9) 278 (11.4) 2428
 High risk 43 (6.6) 336 (51.4) 275 (42.0) 654
 Total 4603 2156 641 7400

Data are presented as frequency (row %). Boldface text indicates positive reclassification; italic text indicates negative reclassification.

Abbreviation: TB, tuberculosis.