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. 2020 Jun 15;42:e2020042. doi: 10.4178/epih.e2020042

Table 2.

Cumulative number of hospitalization cases and hospitalization date of the last patient for each scenario in 2020

Scenario I Scenario II Scenario III
School closing School opening after Apr 6 School opening after Apr 6 & the mean period from symptom onset to hospitalization increases to 4.3 d
Parameters βs = 0,
1α = {4.3 (-Feb 28)2.7 (Feb 29-)}
βs = 2βh,
1α = {4.3 (-Feb 28)2.7 (Feb 29-)}
βs = 2βh,
1α = {4.3 (-Feb 28)2.7 (Feb 29-Apr 5)4.3 (Apr 6-)}
Cumulative no. of hospitalization cases 6,677, (median) 6,716 (compared with scenario I + 39 cases) 6,784 (compared with scenario I + 107 cases)
Hospitalization date of the last patient Apr 26 May 3 (compared with scenario I +7 d) Jul 27 (compared with scenario I + 92 d)