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. 2020 Nov 5;11:5601. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-19410-8

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© The Author(s) 2020

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 1 — The maps represent the distribution of 1 km² pixels predicted to become climatically suitable and unsuitable in 2050 for 10 representative bryophyte species of each of the four main biogeographic elements in Europe (Mediterranean, Atlantic, wide-temperate and Arctic-Alpine) using ensemble of climatic suitability models with the MPI-ESM-LR Global Circulation Model under scenario RCP8.5 (see Supplementary Fig. 1 for scenario RCP4.5 and Supplementary Figs. 2 and 3 for the two RCPs with the HadGem2-ES Global Circulation Model). Colours represent the proportion of species, computed over 10 species per biogeographical elements (individual maps are available from Figshare, DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.8289698), for which a pixel becomes suitable (blue) and unsuitable (red). Numbers indicate the average (±S.D.) percentage of the predicted increase (number of pixels that become suitable in 2050) and loss (number of pixels that become unsuitable in 2050), respectively, of suitable area in 2050 as compared to the extent number of suitable pixels.