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. 2020 Aug 3;103(5):2091–2099. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-0329

Table 3.

Relative risks of different temperatures for hand, foot, and mouth disease cases with varied sociological characteristics (−6°C as reference)

Temperature Scattered children Children in kindergartens or schools Urban City-country fringe Rural
Lag 4 P5 1.05 (0.92,1.18) 1.21 (1.04,1.4) 1.08 (0.94,1.24) 1.12 (0.97,1.29) 1.12 (0.97,1.30)
P25 1.00 (0.85,1.16) 1.18 (0.99,1.42) 1.02 (0.86,1.21) 1.07 (0.89,1.29) 1.10 (0.91,1.32)
P50 0.97 (0.84,1.13) 1.13 (0.95,1.34) 0.96 (0.81,1.13) 1.00 (0.84,1.18) 1.11 (0.93,1.32)
P75 1.13 (0.97,1.32) 1.25 (1.04,1.5) 1.07 (0.90,1.28) 1.12 (0.94,1.34) 1.29 (1.07,1.54)
P95 1.35 (1.15,1.58) 1.35 (1.12,1.63) 1.27 (1.06,1.51) 1.31 (1.09,1.58) 1.47 (1.22,1.76)
Lag 14 P5 1.22 (1.15,1.29) 1.27 (1.18,1.36) 1.21 (1.14,1.30) 1.17 (1.09,1.25) 1.33 (1.24,1.43)
P25 1.33 (1.23,1.43) 1.39 (1.27,1.52) 1.31 (1.21,1.43) 1.26 (1.16,1.38) 1.5 (1.37,1.64)
P50 1.35 (1.25,1.44) 1.39 (1.28,1.51) 1.31 (1.21,1.42) 1.29 (1.19,1.40) 1.5 (1.38,1.64)
P75 1.38 (1.28,1.48) 1.41 (1.29,1.54) 1.33 (1.22,1.45) 1.32 (1.21,1.44) 1.54 (1.41,1.69)
P95 1.35 (1.25,1.45) 1.34 (1.23,1.47) 1.29 (1.19,1.41) 1.28 (1.18,1.40) 1.51 (1.38,1.65)
Lag 4–7 P5 1.38 (0.98,1.95) 2.39 (1.6,3.56) 1.53 (1.05,2.24) 1.65 (1.11,2.45) 1.98 (1.32,2.96)
P25 1.29 (0.84,1.98) 2.46 (1.49,4.07) 1.40 (0.87,2.26) 1.57 (0.95,2.58) 2.07 (1.24,3.43)
P50 1.23 (0.83,1.84) 2.11 (1.32,3.38) 1.14 (0.73,1.78) 1.28 (0.80,2.04) 2.13 (1.33,3.42)
P75 2.07 (1.36,3.17) 2.97 (1.81,4.88) 1.68 (1.05,2.69) 1.93 (1.18,3.16) 3.62 (2.2,5.96)
P95 3.50 (2.28,5.37) 3.71 (2.24,6.14) 2.74 (1.70,4.43) 3.11 (1.89,5.12) 5.34 (3.23,8.85)
Lag 4–14 P5 4.82 (2.97,7.84) 15.27 (8.63,26.99) 5.69 (3.31,9.79) 4.90 (2.78,8.63) 15.18 (8.50,27.11)
P25 7.26 (3.97,13.27) 27.27 (13.42,55.44) 7.93 (4.04,15.54) 7.27 (3.59,14.72) 31.42 (15.24,64.80)
P50 7.53 (4.31,13.15) 21.02 (10.89,40.56) 5.74 (3.08,10.70) 6.29 (3.28,12.09) 34.03 (17.42,66.47)
P75 18.96 (10.55,34.06) 39.02 (19.62,77.62) 11.22 (5.84,21.55) 13.47 (6.80,26.67) 89.92 (44.64,181.16)
P95 34.83 (19.41,62.51) 42.78 (21.46,85.28) 18.99 (9.90,36.46) 22.78 (11.51,45.09) 137.26 (68.25,276.05)
Lag 4–21 P5 15.01 (8.55,26.38) 43.55 (22.36,84.83) 16.73 (8.89,31.5) 12.48 (6.43,24.22) 57.48 (29.14,113.39)
P25 38.73 (19.23,77.99) 133.01 (57.94,305.34) 38.47 (17.51,84.51) 28.79 (12.58,65.93) 232.26 (99.23,543.62)
P50 40.83 (21.36,78.08) 121.66 (56.27,263.06) 30.71 (14.82,63.65) 27.48 (12.76,59.20) 265.47 (120.68,583.97)
P75 91.13 (46.43,178.89) 202.22 (90.96,449.59) 54.70 (25.65,116.62) 52.66 (23.76,116.70) 591.01 (261.05,1337.99)
P95 138.73 (71.15,270.48) 127.26 (57.42,282.05) 72.16 (34.07,152.82) 67.2 (30.50,148.04) 694.34 (309.07,1559.89)