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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Nov 9.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Planet Health. 2019 Jul;3(7):e307–e317. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30094-4

Table:

Global and regional nutrient availability under RCP8·5

2010-climate 2050-climate scenario 2050-nutrient scenarios
Loladze (2014)18 Myers et al (2014)19
Protein availability, g per person per day
Global 95·09 111·82 107·27 (105·68–108·84) 108·54 (107·56–109·34)
East Asia and Pacific 104·81 134·15 129·23 (127·31–131·15) 130·40 (129·26–131·3)
Europe 127·99 134·83 129·27 (127·68–130·77) 131·32 (130·37–132·16)
Former Soviet Union 116·71 131·16 123·52 (121·33–125·56) 126·51 (125·39–127·58)
Latin America and the Caribbean 98·18 110·76 107·73 (106·73–108·68) 108·69 (108·08–109·2)
Middle East and north Africa 113·23 124·31 116·97 (114·80–119·00) 119·70 (118·64–120·69)
North America 148·95 156·19 151·79 (150·49–153·01) 153·27 (152·40–154·00)
Southern Asia 65·87 94·51 89·53 (87·66–91·4) 90·69 (89·52–91·62)
Sub-Saharan Africa 66·40 83·15 80·82 (79·96–81·68) 81·32 (80·63–81·88)
Iron availability, mg per person per day
Global 23·78 28·50 27·70 (27·34–28·02) 27·47 (26·82–27·89)
East Asia and Pacific 27·08 32·75 32·03 (31·7–32·32) 31·62 (30·85–32·10)
Europe 22·73 24·42 23·55 (23·19–23·84) 23·58 (23·17–23·87)
Former Soviet Union 24·06 27·25 26·11 (25·67–26·45) 26·20 (25·77–26·52)
Latin America and the Caribbean 20·86 23·18 22·53 (22·2–22·83) 22·35 (21·79–22·76)
Middle East and north Africa 27·64 29·06 27·89 (27·4–28·28) 27·86 (27·29–28·28)
North America 24·52 25·82 25·10 (24·78–25·36) 25·07 (24·66–25·36)
Southern Asia 17·31 26·79 26·02 (25·69–26·3) 25·67 (24·93–26·13)
Sub-Saharan Africa 25·71 32·98 32·14 (31·66–32·62) 31·89 (31·12–32·39)
Zinc availability, mg per person per day
Global 14·52 17·17 16·75 (16·59–16·89) 16·59 (16·29–16·83)
East Asia and Pacific 15·65 19·57 19·16 (19–19·31) 18·97 (18·63–19·23)
Europe 19·59 20·91 20·33 (20·11–20·51) 20·12 (19·77–20·43)
Former Soviet Union 19·17 21·55 20·79 (20·51–21·02) 20·49 (20·07–20·9)
Latin America and the Caribbean 16·23 17·95 17·59 (17·47–17·7) 17·46 (17·22–17·65)
Middle East and north Africa 19·52 20·68 19·90 (19·62–20·14) 19·61 (19·17–20·03)
North America 22·54 23·58 23·10 (22·93–23·25) 22·94 (22·64–23·19)
Southern Asia 9·73 12·87 12·49 (12·36–12·62) 12·32 (12·06–12·54)
Sub-Saharan Africa 11·58 14·78 14·50 (14·39–14·59) 14·46 (14·22–14·6)

Data are availability of nutrients in g or mg per person per day, with 95% CIs in parentheses. Data are for 2010 and in 2050 with and without CO2 (541 ppm) effects on nutrient content. 2050-nutrient values include CO2 fertilisation. RCP=Representative Concentration Pathway. CO2=carbon dioxide