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. 2020 Nov 10;265:113517. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113517

Table 3.

Results of multilevel analyses regarding trust in government, cumulative infection rate on February 21, and risk perception.

Model 1
Model 2
Cumulative infection rate (logged) on February 21 Cumulative infection rate (logged) on February 21
Province level
 Trust in central government −1.206
(0.931)
−0.795
(0.874)
 Trust in local government −1.817*
(0.771)
−1.194
(0.739)
 Risk perception −1.480**
(0.576)
 Proportion of elderly people 8.502
(9.385)
9.657
(8.845)
 Average education years −0.331
(0.380)
−0.135
(0.368)
 Unemployment rate 0.041
(0.416)
0.411
(0.379)
 Average number of household persons 0.125
(0.813)
0.167
(0.728)
 Proportion of social insurance expenditure −0.593
(5.792)
−5.627
(5.494)
City level
 Population flow from Wuhan 1.997
(1.707)
1.930
(1.701)
 Population density 9.041**
(3.155)
9.703**
(3.127)
 GDP per capita 0.000*
(0.000)
0.000*
(0.000)
City type (Ref: prefecture-level cities)
 Central direct or province-capital cities 0.922**
(0.332)
0.925**
(0.330)
 County-level cities 1.336***
(0.356)
1.296***
(0.353)
 Hubei Province (Ref: other provinces) 3.455***
(0.982)
3.490***
(0.864)
 Constant 9.103
(7.080)
7.212
(6.561)
Cities 317 317
Provinces 29 29
AIC 1235.428 1230.639
BIC 1288.053 1287.023

Standard errors are in parenthesis.

***p < 0.001, **p < 0.01, *p < 0.05, †p < 0.1.