Table 1.

Model properties of the planning scenarios. Each scenario starts with one undetected infected individual.

		Scenario properties
Description	Symbol	Baseline	Scenario 1	Scenario 2
Poisson arrival rate	$\lambda$	0.20	0.20	0.1
Logarithmic distribution parameter	$p$	0.50	0.15	0.5
Communicable period shape parameter	$a$	4.7	4.7	4.7
Communicable period rate parameter	$b$	0.85	0.85	0.85
Mean number of new infections per infected individual	$R_0$	1.59	1.28	0.80
Extinction probability	$Q$	0.60	0.71	1
Mean size at extinction	$\overline{x}$	3.1	4.7	4.9
Mean number infected after one week	$N_{1\mathrm{w}}$	6	4	2.3
Mean number infected after two weeks	$N_{2\mathrm{w}}$	22	10	3.3