Table 6.
Model variable
|
Base line value
|
95%CI
|
|
Lower limit
|
Upper limits
|
||
Treatment efficacies of induction therapy | |||
Disease remission rate of steroids (reference) | 0.347 | 0.247 | 0.447 |
Disease remission rate ratio for infliximab relative to reference | 1.476 | 0.620 | 2.090 |
Disease remission rate ratio for infliximab plus immunosuppressant relative to reference | 2.331 | 1.639 | 3.315 |
Disease remission rate ratio for infliximab plus enteral nutrition relative to reference | 1.743 | 1.523 | 2.986 |
Treatment efficacies of maintenance therapy | |||
Quarterly risk of disease relapse associated with no treatment | 0.207 | 0.146 | 0.284 |
Relative risk of disease relapse associated with infliximab relative to no treatment | 0.040 | 0.000 | 0.140 |
Relative risk of disease relapse associated with immunosuppressant relative to no treatment | 0.360 | 0.170 | 0.630 |
Mortality | |||
Perioperative mortality rate associated with surgery | 0.014 | 0.007 | 0.030 |
Hazard ratio of mortality associated with active disease relative to age and gender-matched general population | 3.047 | 2.195 | 4.230 |
Utility ratio between CD patients and general population | |||
Disease remission | 0.829 | 0.622 | 0.994 |
Active disease | 0.743 | 0.565 | 0.926 |
Direct medical costs | |||
Annual medical costs related to disease reemission management | ¥9512 | ||
Annual medical costs related to active disease management | ¥14436 | ||
Surgery costs per episode | ¥16781 | ||
Annual drug acquisition costs of infliximab used as induction therapy | ¥49000 | ||
Drug acquisition costs of infliximab used as MT in the first year | ¥39200 | ||
Drug acquisition costs of infliximab used as MT beyond the first year | ¥29400 |
CD: Crohn’s disease; CI: Confidence interval; MT: Maintenance therapy.