Table 5.
The derived prevalence rates of the diagnoses of major depressive episodes, dysthymic disorder, and manic episodes based on the assumed prevalence rates and between-variable correlations of the input symptoms
| Assumed correlations between input symptoms | Assumed prevalence of input symptoms | Major depressive episodes | Dysthymic disorder | Manic episodes |
| 0 | 0.05 | 0 (95% CI 0 to 0) | 0.004 (95% CI 0.004 to 0.004) | 0 (95% CI 0 to 0) |
| 0 | 0.1 | 0.001 (95% CI 0.001 to 0.001) | 0.025 (95% CI 0.025 to 0.025) | 0.002 (95% CI 0.002 to 0.002) |
| 0 | 0.3 | 0.067 (95% CI 0.067 to 0.067) | 0.249 (95% CI 0.249 to 0.249) | 0.136 (95% CI 0.135 to 0.136) |
| 0 | 0.5 | 0.245 (95% CI 0.244 to 0.245) | 0.493 (95% CI 0.493 to 0.493) | 0.436 (95% CI 0.436 to 0.436) |
| 0 | 0.7 | 0.49 (95% CI 0.49 to 0.49) | 0.7 (95% CI 0.7 to 0.7) | 0.692 (95% CI 0.692 to 0.693) |
| 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.004 (95% CI 0.004 to 0.004) | 0.018 (95% CI 0.018 to 0.018) | 0.007 (95% CI 0.007 to 0.007) |
| 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.011 (95% CI 0.011 to 0.011) | 0.049 (95% CI 0.049 to 0.049) | 0.022 (95% CI 0.021 to 0.022) |
| 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.094 (95% CI 0.094 to 0.094) | 0.25 (95% CI 0.25 to 0.25) | 0.172 (95% CI 0.171 to 0.172) |
| 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.267 (95% CI 0.267 to 0.268) | 0.482 (95% CI 0.482 to 0.482) | 0.425 (95% CI 0.425 to 0.425) |
| 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.51 (95% CI 0.509 to 0.51) | 0.697 (95% CI 0.697 to 0.697) | 0.679 (95% CI 0.679 to 0.679) |
| 0.4 | 0.05 | 0.019 (95% CI 0.019 to 0.019) | 0.037 (95% CI 0.037 to 0.037) | 0.029 (95% CI 0.029 to 0.029) |
| 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.042 (95% CI 0.042 to 0.042) | 0.078 (95% CI 0.078 to 0.078) | 0.062 (95% CI 0.062 to 0.062) |
| 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.166 (95% CI 0.166 to 0.167) | 0.267 (95% CI 0.267 to 0.267) | 0.231 (95% CI 0.231 to 0.231) |
| 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.344 (95% CI 0.344 to 0.344) | 0.476 (95% CI 0.476 to 0.476) | 0.44 (95% CI 0.44 to 0.441) |
| 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.57 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.57) | 0.689 (95% CI 0.688 to 0.689) | 0.666 (95% CI 0.666 to 0.666) |
| 0.7 | 0.05 | 0.035 (95% CI 0.035 to 0.035) | 0.046 (95% CI 0.046 to 0.046) | 0.042 (95% CI 0.042 to 0.042) |
| 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.071 (95% CI 0.071 to 0.071) | 0.092 (95% CI 0.092 to 0.092) | 0.085 (95% CI 0.085 to 0.085) |
| 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.233 (95% CI 0.233 to 0.234) | 0.285 (95% CI 0.285 to 0.285) | 0.27 (95% CI 0.27 to 0.27) |
| 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.422 (95% CI 0.421 to 0.422) | 0.486 (95% CI 0.485 to 0.486) | 0.469 (95% CI 0.468 to 0.469) |
| 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.635 (95% CI 0.635 to 0.635) | 0.69 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.691) | 0.678 (95% CI 0.677 to 0.678) |
| 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.042 (95% CI 0.042 to 0.042) | 0.048 (95% CI 0.048 to 0.048) | 0.046 (95% CI 0.046 to 0.046) |
| 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.085 (95% CI 0.085 to 0.085) | 0.096 (95% CI 0.096 to 0.097) | 0.093 (95% CI 0.093 to 0.093) |
| 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.268 (95% CI 0.268 to 0.268) | 0.293 (95% CI 0.293 to 0.293) | 0.286 (95% CI 0.286 to 0.287) |
| 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.463 (95% CI 0.463 to 0.463) | 0.493 (95% CI 0.492 to 0.493) | 0.485 (95% CI 0.485 to 0.486) |
| 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.669 (95% CI 0.669 to 0.669) | 0.695 (95% CI 0.694 to 0.695) | 0.688 (95% CI 0.688 to 0.688) |
CI, confidence interval.