TABLE 2.
Food group | Baseline diet among Dutch adults | No-GHGE-target scenario | Relaxed-GHGE-target scenario | 2030 scenario (sensitivity range2) | 2050 scenario |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grains and starches | |||||
Rice, wheat, corn, and other | 225 | 268 | 278 | 289 (278, 295) | 293 |
Potatoes and cassava | 114 | 112 | 112 | 109 (105, 112) | 86 |
Vegetables | |||||
Dark green vegetables | 51 | 93 | 80 | 65 (58, 77) | 145 |
Red and orange vegetables | 50 | 77 | 59 | 38 (33, 46) | 33 |
Other vegetables | 45 | 76 | 73 | 70 (62, 80) | 153 |
Fruits | |||||
All fruit | 116 | 134 | 119 | 99 (94, 105) | 16 |
Dairy foods | |||||
Cheese | 39 | 26 | 19 | 3 (0, 10) | 0 |
Liquid dairy | 371 | 364 | 368 | 363 (348, 376) | 128 |
Butter | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0, 0) | 0 |
Protein sources | |||||
Beef and lamb | 44 | 37 | 0 | 0 (0, 0) | 0 |
Chicken and other poultry | 30 | 26 | 22 | 11 (5, 17) | 0 |
Pork | 56 | 24 | 17 | 10 (5, 19) | 0 |
Eggs | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 (12, 21) | 0 |
Fish and shellfish | 18 | 44 | 54 | 48 (42, 57) | 52 |
Dry beans, lentils, and peas | 4 | 37 | 30 | 23 (17, 31) | 0 |
Soy foods | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 (1, 9) | 0 |
Tree nuts | 2 | 20 | 35 | 55 (44, 59) | 63 |
Peanuts | 14 | 20 | 28 | 36 (30, 40) | 17 |
Added fats | |||||
Unsaturated oils | 28 | 16 | 12 | 10 (8, 16) | 27 |
Sugars and snacks | |||||
Sugar and confectionary | 44 | 36 | 31 | 23 (14, 31) | 0 |
Cakes | 56 | 37 | 37 | 31 (24, 36) | 23 |
Snacks | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 (0, 0) | 0 |
Other foods | |||||
Condiments and sauces | 24 | 12 | 14 | 9 (5, 13) | 0 |
Soups and bouillon | 63 | 61 | 53 | 36 (29, 42) | 0 |
Beverages | |||||
Alcoholic beverages | 212 | 210 | 200 | 203 (200, 205) | 132 |
Nonalcoholic beverages | 2118 | 2117 | 2112 | 2102 (2097, 2105) | 1797 |
Soy drink3 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 19 (15, 23) | 96 |
Greenhouse gas emissions, kg CO2-eq pppd | 4.21 | 3.65 | 2.5 | 2.04 | 1.11 |
Fossil energy use, MJ pppd | 37.2 | 40.5 | 32.8 | 27.8 | 19.6 |
Land occupation, m2a pppd | 4.65 | 4.34 | 3.26 | 3.11 | 2.79 |
kg CO2-eq, kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent; MJ, megajoules; m2a, square meters annually; pppd, per person per day.
The robustness of the 2030 scenario to uncertainties in the nutritional and environmental data was tested via 1000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Soy drink is a fortified product with vitamin B-12 and calcium.