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. 2020 Aug 7;112(5):1338–1347. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/nqaa217

TABLE 2.

Food intake (g/d) and environmental indicators of the baseline diet among Dutch adults and for 4 scenarios with varying food system GHGE targets1

Food group Baseline diet among Dutch adults No-GHGE-target scenario Relaxed-GHGE-target scenario 2030 scenario (sensitivity range2) 2050 scenario
Grains and starches
 Rice, wheat, corn, and other 225 268 278 289 (278, 295) 293
 Potatoes and cassava 114 112 112 109 (105, 112) 86
Vegetables
 Dark green vegetables 51 93 80 65 (58, 77) 145
 Red and orange vegetables 50 77 59 38 (33, 46) 33
 Other vegetables 45 76 73 70 (62, 80) 153
Fruits
 All fruit 116 134 119 99 (94, 105) 16
Dairy foods
 Cheese 39 26 19 3 (0, 10) 0
 Liquid dairy 371 364 368 363 (348, 376) 128
 Butter 6 0 0 0 (0, 0) 0
Protein sources
 Beef and lamb 44 37 0 0 (0, 0) 0
 Chicken and other poultry 30 26 22 11 (5, 17) 0
 Pork 56 24 17 10 (5, 19) 0
 Eggs 11 13 15 17 (12, 21) 0
 Fish and shellfish 18 44 54 48 (42, 57) 52
 Dry beans, lentils, and peas 4 37 30 23 (17, 31) 0
 Soy foods 0 5 6 5 (1, 9) 0
 Tree nuts 2 20 35 55 (44, 59) 63
 Peanuts 14 20 28 36 (30, 40) 17
Added fats
 Unsaturated oils 28 16 12 10 (8, 16) 27
Sugars and snacks
 Sugar and confectionary 44 36 31 23 (14, 31) 0
 Cakes 56 37 37 31 (24, 36) 23
 Snacks 9 6 2 0 (0, 0) 0
Other foods
 Condiments and sauces 24 12 14 9 (5, 13) 0
 Soups and bouillon 63 61 53 36 (29, 42) 0
Beverages
 Alcoholic beverages 212 210 200 203 (200, 205) 132
 Nonalcoholic beverages 2118 2117 2112 2102 (2097, 2105) 1797
 Soy drink3 9 10 14 19 (15, 23) 96
Greenhouse gas emissions, kg CO2-eq pppd 4.21 3.65 2.5 2.04 1.11
Fossil energy use, MJ pppd 37.2 40.5 32.8 27.8 19.6
Land occupation, m2a pppd 4.65 4.34 3.26 3.11 2.79
1

kg CO2-eq, kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent; MJ, megajoules; m2a, square meters annually; pppd, per person per day.

2

The robustness of the 2030 scenario to uncertainties in the nutritional and environmental data was tested via 1000 Monte Carlo simulations.

3

Soy drink is a fortified product with vitamin B-12 and calcium.