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. 2020 Aug 7;112(5):1338–1347. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/nqaa217

TABLE 4.

Food intake (g/d) and environmental indicators for the diversity, acceptability, and food-chain-interdependency scenarios1

Food group 2030 scenario (sensitivity range2) Diversity scenario Acceptability scenario Food-chain-interdependency scenario (dairy)
Grains and starches
 Rice, wheat, corn, and other 289 (278, 295) 299 338 289
 Potatoes and cassava 109 (105, 112) 109 93 107
Vegetables
 Dark green vegetables 65 (58, 77) 68 77 65
 Red and orange vegetables 38 (33, 46) 41 17 35
 Other vegetables 70 (62, 80) 91 67 71
Fruits
 All fruit 99 (94, 105) 200 76 95
Dairy foods
 Cheese 3 (0, 10) 0 13 1
 Liquid dairy 363 (348, 376) 368 272 363
 Butter 0 (0, 0) 0 2 0
Protein sources
 Beef and lamb 0 (0, 0) 0 14 8
 Chicken and other poultry 11 (5, 17) 15 46 5
 Pork 10 (5, 19) 5 24 7
 Eggs 17 (12, 21) 23 17 16
 Fish and shellfish 48 (42, 57) 44 27 47
 Dry beans, lentils, and peas 23 (17, 31) 21 5 20
 Soy foods 5 (1, 9) 0 0 3
 Tree nuts 55 (44, 59) 54 3 58
 Peanuts 36 (30, 40) 23 21 38
Added fats
 Unsaturated oils 10 (8, 16) 44 21 9
Sugars and snacks
 Sugar and confectionary 23 (14, 31) 4 32 23
 Cakes 31 (24, 36) 1 40 27
 Snacks 0 (0, 0) 0 3 0
Other foods
 Condiments and sauces 9 (5, 13) 0 8 6
 Soups and bouillon 36 (29, 42) 12 21 29
Beverages
 Alcoholic beverages 203 (200, 205) 200 166 200
 Nonalcoholic beverages 2102 (2097, 2105) 2093 2012 2098
 Soy drink3 19 (15, 23) 22 14 22
Greenhouse gas emissions, kg CO2-eq pppd 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04
Fossil energy use, MJ pppd 27.8 28.3 25.7 27.1
Land occupation, m2a pppd 3.11 3.33 2.76 3.15
1

kg CO2-eq, kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent; MJ, megajoules; m2a, square meters annually; pppd, per person per day.

2

The robustness of the 2030 scenario to uncertainties in the nutritional and environmental data was tested via 1000 Monte Carlo simulations.

3

Soy drink is a fortified product with vitamin B-12 and calcium.