Table 2.

Predicted number of COVID-19 deaths using X${}_{\mathrm{o}}$$=$ 3, m $=$ 5 days, D${}_{\mathrm{r}}$$=$ 10% and n $=$ 14 days.

Number of incubation period (t)	Day	Predicted incident cases (E${}_{\mathrm{t}}{.}_{\mathrm{m}}$)	Predicted new deaths (S${}_{\mathrm{t}}{.}_{\mathrm{m+n}}$)	Predicted total deaths (S)
0	0 ($=$ t*m)	1	0	0.0
1	5	3	0	0.0
2	10	9	0	0.0
	14	0	0.1 ($=$ 1*Dr)	0.1
	($=$ t*m+n)
3	15	27	0	0.1
	19	0	0.3 ($=$ 3*Dr)	0.4