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. 2020 Nov 12;73(1):321–329. doi: 10.1007/s13304-020-00921-4

Table 1.

Dynamic model for surgical activity during COVID-19 pandemic

Scenario Census Resources Surgical activity
Emergency  > 75% COVID-19-related admissions (ward and ICU)

Significant impact on hospital, healthcare workers and ICU beds

Limited ICU and ventilation resources, limited OR resources or a rapid infection increase in the hospital

Emergencies where the patient will not survive unless intervened within the next few hours after a preoperative triage is done by the ethics committee
High level alert 50–75% COVID-19-related admissions (ward and ICU) Significant impact on hospital, healthcare workers and ICU beds Emergencies
Medium level alert 25–50% COVID-19-related admissions (ward and ICU)

Impact on hospital resources with pandemic alertness in the hospital with appropriate separate triage in the ER for respiratory symptoms vs non respiratory symptoms

ICU beds and wards reserved for COVID-19 patients

Oncologic patients where a lack of treatment would compromise their 3 month’s survival

Oncologic patients who cannot receive neoadjuvant treatment to slow progression of disease

Oncologic patients who will not require prolonged ICU stay

Emergencies

Low level alert 5–25% COVID-19-related admissions (ward and ICU)

No impact on hospital

resources but with pandemic alertness in the hospital with appropriate separate triage in the ER for respiratory symptoms vs non respiratory symptoms

Oncologic patients (If an increase in the infection curve is suspected, use “medium level” scenario for oncological surgical activity)

Emergencies

Almost normal  < 5% COVID-19-related admissions, without ongoing urgent necessities No impact on hospital resources No impact on normal activity