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. 2020 Nov 13;51(5):2818–2837. doi: 10.1007/s10489-020-01929-4

Table 6.

Relative error between real and estimated cases of India, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, and Delhi

India Date Mar 21 Apr 04 Apr 18 May 02 May 16 May 30 June 13 June 27 July 11
Total cases (predicated) 338 3648 15,652 40,545 90,668 181,910 321,710 529,592 841,029
Total cases (Real -data) [3] 334 3684 15,725 39,826 90,648 181,860 321,638 529,590 850,361
Relative Error (%) 1.2 0.98 0.47 1.81 0.03 0.022 0.0002 0.0004 1.097
MH Total cases (predicated) 64 638 3663 12,381 30,752 65,172 105,821 161,850 243,083
Total cases (Real -data) [3] 64 635 3648 12,296 30,706 65,168 104,568 159,133 246,600
Relative Error (%) 0 0.48 0.42 0.7 0.15 0.006 1.198 1.71 1.44
TN Total cases (predicated) 6 474 1354 2801 10,695 21,190 43,472 80,266 136,663
Total cases (Real -data) [3] 6 485 1372 2757 10,585 21,184 42,687 78,835 134,226
Relative Error (%) 0 2.27 1.32 1.6 1.04 0.028 1.84 1.82 1.82
GJ Total cases (predicated) 14 107 1368 4818 10,567 16,130 22,852 30,553 39,951
Total cases (Real -data) [3] 14 108 1376 4824 10,759 16,126 22,849 30,543 41,027
Relative Error (%) 0 0.93 0.59 0.13 1.79 0.025 0.013 0.033 2.62
DL Total cases (predicated) 27 439 1863 4202 9303 18,552 39,000 80,208 113,068
Total cases (Real -data) [3] 27 445 1893 4122 9333 18,549 38,958 80,188 110,921
Relative Error (%) 0 1.35 1.59 1.95 0.33 0.016 0.11 0.025 1.94