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. 2020 Nov 14;230:23–31.e10. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2020.11.016

Table X.

Logistic regression models of severe disease

Predictors Bivariate
Multivariable
Model 1 (N = 106)
Model 2 (N = 127)
OR (95% CI) P value aOR (95% CI) P value aOR (95% CI) P value
Respiratory illness: 56 events, N = 141
 Age (per 1-year decrease) 1.02 (0.98-1.08) .29 1.09 (1.01-1.18) .02 1.09 (1.02-1.16) .01
 BMI (per unit increase in kg/m2) 1.01 (0.98-1.04) .49
 Obesity (reference = no obesity) 1.78 (0.85-3.73) .12 3.66 (1.14-11.78) .03 3.39 (1.26-9.10) .02
 Days of illness before admission 1.02 (0.94-1.11) .64
 Admission WBC (per unit increase in 109/L) 1.07 (1.01-1.14) .03 1.11 (1.01-1.21) .03 1.11 (1.03-1.20) .007
 Admission absolute lymphocyte count (per unit decrease in U/L) 0.92 (0.79-1.08) .31
 Admission CRP level (per unit increase in mg/dL) 1.02 (1.00-1.04) .09
 Hispanic (reference = non-Hispanic white/other) 1.29 (0.49-3.37) .61 0.88 (0.26-2.98) .84
 Non-Hispanic black (reference = non-Hispanic white/other) 1.77 (0.50-6.20) .37 1.65 (0.31-8.87) .56
 Medicare/Medicaid (reference = private/other) 0.95 (0.45-2.04) .9
 Oxygen saturation <90% (reference = no) 3.55 (1.13-11.20) .03 4.25 (1.10-16.49) .04 4.01 (1.14-14.15) .03
 Male (reference = female) 0.91 (0.45-1.85) .79
 Medical complexity (reference = no) 1.99 (0.94-4.21) .07 1.51 (0.51-4.42) .45
 Bilateral infiltrates on radiograph (reference = no) 3.14 (1.51-6.53) .002 3.88 (1.36-11.08) .01 3.69 (1.46-9.32) .006
 Low SES (reference ≥–1)
0.86 (0.31-2.38)
.77




Predictor
Bivariate
Multivariable
Model 1 (N = 60)
Model 2 (N = 66)

OR (95% CI)
P value
aOR (95% CI)
P value
aOR (95% CI)
P value
MIS-C: 38 events, N = 68
 Age (per 1-year decrease) 0.83 (0.74-0.93) .002 1.00 (0.84-1.19) .98
 BMI (per unit increase in kg/m2) 1.02 (0.92-1.14) .69
 Obesity (reference = no obesity) 1.16 (0.35-3.91) .81
 Days of illness before admission 0.98 (0.77-1.25) .87
 WBC (per unit increase in 109/L) 0.95 (0.88-1.04) .29
 Admission absolute lymphocyte count (per unit decrease in U/L) 5.88 (2.13-16.67) <.001 12.50 (1.85-100.0) .009 8.33 (2.32-33.33) .001
 Admission CRP level (per unit increase in mg/dL) 1.04 (1.00-1.07) .03 1.05 (0.98-1.12) .14 1.06 (1.01-1.12) .02
 Hispanic (reference = Non-Hispanic white/other) 1.09 (0.26-4.55) .9 2.54 (0.23-28.23) .45
 Non-Hispanic black (reference = non-Hispanic white/other) 4.05 (0.87-18.93) .07 3.09 (0.22, 42.80) .4
 Medicare/Medicaid (reference = private/other) 0.39 (0.14-1.12) .08 0.21 (0.04-1.15) .07
 Male (reference = female) 1.66 (0.60-4.60) .33
 Medical complexity (reference = no) 0.51 (0.08-3.37) .49
 Bilateral infiltrates on radiograph (reference = no) 6.59 (0.73-59.81) .09
 Low SES (reference ≥–1) 0.78 (0.23-2.62) .69

BMI, body mass index.

P values for OR and aOR estimated using logistic regression. All estimates are adjusted for site with fixed effects. Excluded 2 Respiratory cases (one who was chronically ventilator-dependent and discharged on hospital day 1, and one who died on the day of admission) and 1 MIS-C case (transferred on the day of admission). Model 1 includes variables with P < .25 in bivariate analysis, age and race. Model 2 includes only variables with P < .05 using stepwise backward selection strategy. CRP level excluded in multivariable Respiratory models because 28% missing and data not missing at random. Bilateral infiltrates on radiograph not included in multivariable MIS-C due to limited number of MIS-C patients with this condition (N = 7).

See definitions in Table II.