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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Nov 14.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Ind Med. 2019 Feb 6;62(4):317–324. doi: 10.1002/ajim.22951

Table 4:

DART Models (N =2,148)

Crude Multivariate Multivariate + Trade



Leading Indicator Count Model (RRs) Inflation Model (ORs) Count Model (RRs) Inflation Model (ORs) Count Model (RRs) Inflation Model (ORs)
SMS 0.91 (0.87, 0.95) 0.72 (0.56, 0.91) 0.90 (0.86, 0.94) 0.86 (0.66, 1.12) 0.93 (0.90, 0.96) 0.90 (0.74, 1.09)
SPE Hazards 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 1.15 (0.84, 1.58) 1.01 (0.98, 1.03) -- 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) --
SPE Programs 1.01 (0.92, 1.10) 0.89 (0.61, 1.31) 1.08 (1.02, 1.15) -- 1.03 (0.99, 1.08) --
SE Non-drug and alcohol 0.88 (0.72, 1.08) 0.39 (0.02, 9.21) 0.99 (0.84, 1.17) -- 0.97 (0.86, 1.10) --
SE Drug and Alcohol 0.75 (0.70, 0.81) 0.44 (0.28, 0.69) 0.79 (0.74, 0.84) 0.55 (0.32, 0.97) 0.82 (0.77, 0.87) 0.53 (0.29, 0.97)
OSHA Citations 1.01 (0.90, 1.14) 0.83 (0.06, 0.41) 1.07 (0.97, 1.18) 0.12 (0.03, 0.49) 1.05 (0.98, 1.13) 0.75 (0.06, 8.67)

Observed vs Predicted R2 0.58 0.70
Cross-validation R2 0.51 0.62

--: Covariate not included in model