Table 3.

Integrated Area Under the Curve for the CZ Score, Tomita Score, Revised Tokuhashi Score, Modified Bauer Score and NESMS from Time-Dependent ROC Analysis

Prediction Period (mo)	IAUC
	CZ Score	Tomita	p	Revised Tokuhashi Score	p	Modified Bauer Score	p	NESMS	p
6	0.880 (0.714–1.046)	0.772 (0.635–0.909)	<0.001***	0.827 (0.715–0.940)	0.545	0.729 (0.601–0.857)	<0.001***	0.559 (0.314–0.798)	<0.001***
12	0.906 (0.823–0.989)	0.782 (0.689–0.875)	<0.001***	0.789 (0.686–0.893)	0.066	0.778 (0.690–0.867)	<0.001***	0.655 (0.517–0.796)	<0.001***
24	0.922 (0.870–0.974)	0.740 (0.652–0.829)	<0.001***	0.776 (0.686–0.867)	0.003**	0.712 (0.620–0.804)	<0.001***	0.627 (0.523–0.731)	<0.001***
36	0.884 (0.819–0.948)	0.666 (0.569–0.764)	<0.001***	0.700 (0.597–0.803)	<0.001***	0.649 (0.549–0.750)	<0.001***	0.597 (0.496–0.698)	<0.001***

Notes: **p<0.01; ***p<0.001.

Abbreviation: mo, month.