Table 3.
Percentage of increase in selection efficiency of GS for each phenotypic trait, estimated for both selection strategies (Strategy 1 and 2), model ratio (i.e., GBLUP/PBLUP, BRR/PBLUP and BL/PBLUP) and prediction efficiency (r1 - predictive ability, r2 - predictive accuracy, r3 - theoretical accuracy, and r4 - prediction accuracy). Approach 1 and 2 are respectively the breeding cycle length assumptions without and with flowering greenhouse stimulation (i.e. 18 and 11 years)
| Traits | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selection | Ratio | Pred. eff. | Ht1 | Ht2 | DBH1 | DBH2 | MFA | MOEs | DEN | MOEd |
| Strategy 1 | GBLUP/PBLUP | r1 | 90.5 | 110.8 | 92.6 | 126.1 | 87.1 | 94.9 | 95.2 | 86.4 |
| (Approach 1) | r2 | 81.5 | 109.8 | 103.6 | 124.5 | 87.8 | 96.8 | 93.9 | 88.7 | |
| r3 | 126.9 | 126.7 | 132.7 | 137.7 | 124.6 | 126.7 | 123.0 | 119.4 | ||
| r4 | 61.9 | 87.5 | 73.8 | 73.8 | 71.4 | 84.0 | 80.3 | 78.1 | ||
| BRR/PBLUP | r1 | 100.0 | 89.2 | 114.8 | 143.5 | 93.6 | 100.0 | 95.1 | 95.5 | |
| r2 | 85.2 | 86.9 | 118.2 | 128.6 | 136.7 | 87.1 | 87.7 | 83.1 | ||
| r4 | 59.5 | 70.0 | 73.8 | 71.4 | 71.4 | 81.3 | 77.8 | 78.5 | ||
| BL/PBLUP | r1 | 90.5 | 83.8 | 114.8 | 126.1 | 80.7 | 84.6 | 90.2 | 81.8 | |
| r2 | 100.0 | 109.8 | 96.4 | 116.3 | 132.7 | 90.3 | 93.9 | 80.3 | ||
| r4 | 57.1 | 80.0 | 73.8 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 76.0 | 77.8 | 75.6 | ||
| Strategy 1 | GBLUP/PBLUP | r1 | 211.7 | 245.0 | 215.2 | 270.0 | 206.2 | 219.9 | 219.3 | 205.0 |
| (Approach 2) | r2 | 197.0 | 243.4 | 233.2 | 267.4 | 207.2 | 222.0 | 217.2 | 208.8 | |
| r3 | 271.3 | 270.3 | 280.8 | 289.0 | 267.5 | 270.9 | 264.8 | 258.9 | ||
| r4 | 164.9 | 206.8 | 184.4 | 184.4 | 180.5 | 201.1 | 195.0 | 191.4 | ||
| BRR/PBLUP | r1 | 227.3 | 209.6 | 251.5 | 298.4 | 216.7 | 227.3 | 219.3 | 219.8 | |
| r2 | 203.0 | 205.8 | 257.0 | 274.0 | 287.4 | 206.2 | 207.1 | 199.6 | ||
| r4 | 161.0 | 178.2 | 184.4 | 180.5 | 180.5 | 196.7 | 190.9 | 191.4 | ||
| BL/PBLUP | r1 | 211.7 | 200.7 | 251.5 | 270.0 | 195.6 | 202.1 | 211.3 | 197.5 | |
| r2 | 227.3 | 243.4 | 221.3 | 254.0 | 280.7 | 211.4 | 217.2 | 195.0 | ||
| r4 | 157.1 | 194.6 | 184.4 | 180.5 | 172.3 | 188.0 | 190.9 | 187.4 | ||
| Strategy 2 | GBLUP/PBLUP | r1 | 11.1 | 23.0 | 12.4 | 31.9 | 9.1 | 13.7 | 13.8 | 8.7 |
| (Approach 1) | r2 | 5.9 | 22.4 | 18.8 | 31.0 | 9.5 | 14.8 | 13.1 | 10.1 | |
| r3 | 32.4 | 32.2 | 35.8 | 38.7 | 31.0 | 32.2 | 30.1 | 28.1 | ||
| r4 | -5.6 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 3.9 | ||
| BRR/PBLUP | r1 | 16.7 | 10.4 | 25.3 | 42.0 | 12.9 | 17.7 | 13.8 | 14.0 | |
| r2 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 27.3 | 33.3 | 38.1 | 9.1 | 9.5 | 6.8 | ||
| r4 | -6.9 | -0.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 3.9 | ||
| BL/PBLUP | r1 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 25.3 | 31.9 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 6.1 | |
| r2 | 16.7 | 22.4 | 14.6 | 26.2 | 35.7 | 11.0 | 13.1 | 5.2 | ||
| r4 | -8.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | -2.8 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 2.44 | ||
| Strategy 2 | GBLUP/PBLUP | r1 | 81.8 | 101.2 | 83.8 | 115.8 | 78.6 | 86.0 | 86.3 | 77.9 |
| (Approach 2) | r2 | 73.2 | 100.3 | 94.4 | 114.3 | 79.2 | 87.8 | 85.0 | 80.2 | |
| r3 | 116.6 | 116.4 | 122.2 | 126.9 | 114.4 | 116.4 | 112.8 | 109.4 | ||
| r4 | 54.6 | 79.0 | 65.9 | 65.9 | 63.6 | 75.6 | 72.1 | 70.0 | ||
| BRR/PBLUP | r1 | 90.9 | 80.6 | 105.1 | 132.4 | 84.8 | 90.9 | 86.3 | 86.6 | |
| r2 | 76.8 | 78.4 | 108.3 | 118.2 | 126.0 | 78.6 | 79.2 | 74.8 | ||
| r4 | 52.3 | 62.3 | 65.9 | 63.6 | 63.6 | 73.1 | 69.7 | 70.0 | ||
| BL/PBLUP | r1 | 81.8 | 75.4 | 105.1 | 115.8 | 72.4 | 76.2 | 81.6 | 73.6 | |
| r2 | 90.9 | 100.3 | 87.4 | 106.5 | 122.1 | 81.7 | 85.0 | 72.1 | ||
| r4 | 50.0 | 71.8 | 65.9 | 63.6 | 59.1 | 68.0 | 69.7 | 67.6 |