Table 6.
Annual avoided multi-model empirical mean PM2.5-related premature deaths (IHD+STROKE+COPD+LC) with 95% CI from Monte-Carlo simulations in parenthesis due to 20 % regional (NAM, EUR, SAS, MDE and RBU), sectoral (PIN, TRN and RES) and global (GLO) anthropogenic emission reductions in each region and worldwide. The diagonal, showing the effect of each region on itself, is underlined. For regional reductions, we also the RERER (eq. 4) as the percent of total avoided deaths in each receptor region that result from foreign emission reductions, as well as the percent of global avoided deaths from emission reductions in each source region. All numbers are rounded to three significant figures or the nearest 10 deaths.
| Source regions/sectors | Receptor region | Impact on foreign receptor regions | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAM | EUR | SAS | EAS | MDE | RBU | World | ||
| NAM | 18,000 (630–28,300) | 640 (80–1,100) | 10 (−210–80) | 200 (−300–370) | 10 (0–30) | 250 (90–420) | 19,400 (310–30,600) | 7% |
| EUR | 60 (20–110) | 31,900 (4,500–53,900) | 120 (−60–190) | 390 (−20–550) | 400 (30–1,400) | 2,700 (680–8,000) | 39,400 (5,500–63,400) | 19% |
| SAS | 50 (−10–90) | 110 (0–200) | 47,900 (30,000–68,500) | 1,400 (−70–2,100) | 40 (0–150) | 40 (10–110) | 51,300 (32,300–73,300) | 7% |
| EAS | 340 (40–510) | 400 (20–690) | 900 (590–1,400) | 91,100 (440–128,700) | 10 (0–30) | 800 (0–1,300) | 96,600 (3,500–136,000) | 6% |
| MDE | 30 (0–60) | 420 (90–850) | 1,400 (740–2,400) | 180 (−610–460) | 1,600 (240–4,500) | 640(30–1,600) | 5,000 (1,900–11,100) | 68% |
| RBU | 40 (10–60) | 2,200 (300–3,700) | 90 (−220–190) | 810 (330–1,100) | 80 (10–220) | 17,600 (390–25,700) | 21,500 (900–31,000) | 18% |
| PIN | 9,300 (940–13,000) | 15,700 (1,900–24,700) | 21,000 (8,400–30,700) | 47,310 (22,600–69,700) | 2,200 (200–6,100) | 14,300 (0–24,100) | 128,000 (41,600–179,000) | - |
| TRN | 3,600 (−320–7,000) | 8,900 (130–17,400) | 6,200 (−12,800–14,400) | 6,800 (−6,400–12,200) | 230 (10–770) | 3,100 (0–5,400) | 31,900 (−16,500–58,300) | - |
| RES | 2,900 (110–4,400) | 6,900 (210–11,300) | 25,000 (15,100–40,700) | 29,300 (13,200–52,900) | 200 (10–520) | 4,600 (0–8,100) | 83,400 (41,700–120,000) | - |
| GLO | 19,900 (710–31,300) | 40,900 (4,900–68,100) | 55,300 (36,500–78,300) | 105,000 (4,000–147,000) | 2,800 (330–8,400) | 26,700 (2,300–36,000) | 290,000 (67,100–405,000) | - |
| RERER | 10% | 22% | 13% | 13% | 42% | 34% | - | |