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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Nov 16.
Published in final edited form as: J Artif Soc Soc Simul. 2020 Oct 31;23(4):7. doi: 10.18564/jasss.4352

Table 2:

A comparison of the factors by which risk of transmission is inflated across both implementations.

Weeknumber Risk inflation factor EpiModel Risk inflation factor NHS model Risk Inflation NHS relative to EpiModel
1 0.106 0.000 0.000
2 0.298 24.672 82.923
3 0.832 32.312 38.832
4 2.327 37.835 16.259
5 6.508 42.317 6.502
6 18.200 46.156 2.536
7 50.898 49.550 0.974
8 35.640 47.671 1.338
9 24.957 44.058 1.765
10 17.475 39.908 2.284
11 12.237 34.940 2.856
12 8.569 28.504 3.327
13 6.000 18.132 3.022
Average onset stage (week 1–13) 12.509
14–520 1.000 1.000 1.000
540 1.506 4.875 3.238
560 2.317 6.427 2.775
580 3.564 7.542 2.116
600 5.483 8.445 1.540
620 8.426 9.218 1.093
Average AIDS stage (week 521–621) 2.258
Average throughout the infection (week 1–621) 1.442