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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Nov 16.
Published in final edited form as: J Artif Soc Soc Simul. 2020 Oct 31;23(4):7. doi: 10.18564/jasss.4352

Table 6:

A comparison of the risk of transmitting HIV across implementations, for both insertive and receptive HIV-positive individuals under two different implementations of risk calculations in the NHS model. In the left column the risks are calculated as factors, whereas in the right log-odds are used

NHS model used factors NHS model used log-odds
HIV+ individual is recepetive HIV+ individual is insertive HIV+ individual is recepetive HIV+ individual is insertive
Log of Viral load Risk NHS Risk EpiModel Risk NHS Risk EpiModel Risk NHS Risk EpiModel Risk NHS Risk EpiModel
0 0.0004 0.0004 0.0010 0.0010 0.0004 0.0004 0.0010 0.0010
0.25 0.0004 0.0004 0.0012 0.0012 0.0004 0.0004 0.0012 0.0012
0.5 0.0006 0.0006 0.0015 0.0015 0.0006 0.0006 0.0015 0.0015
0.75 0.0007 0.0007 0.0019 0.0019 0.0007 0.0007 0.0019 0.0019
1 0.0009 0.0009 0.0023 0.0023 0.0009 0.0009 0.0023 0.0023
1.25 0.0011 0.0011 0.0029 0.0029 0.0011 0.0011 0.0029 0.0029
1.5 0.0014 0.0014 0.0036 0.0036 0.0014 0.0014 0.0036 0.0036
1.75 0.0017 0.0017 0.0046 0.0045 0.0017 0.0017 0.0045 0.0045
2 0.0022 0.0022 0.0057 0.0057 0.0022 0.0022 0.0057 0.0057
2.25 0.0027 0.0027 0.0071 0.0071 0.0027 0.0027 0.0071 0.0071
2.5 0.0034 0.0034 0.0089 0.0089 0.0034 0.0034 0.0089 0.0089
2.75 0.0042 0.0042 0.0112 0.0111 0.0042 0.0042 0.0111 0.0111
3 0.0053 0.0053 0.0140 0.0138 0.0053 0.0053 0.0138 0.0138
3.25 0.0066 0.0066 0.0175 0.0172 0.0066 0.0066 0.0172 0.0172
3.5 0.0083 0.0082 0.0219 0.0215 0.0082 0.0082 0.0215 0.0215
3.75 0.0104 0.0103 0.0274 0.0268 0.0103 0.0103 0.0268 0.0268
4 0.0130 0.0128 0.0343 0.0333 0.0128 0.0128 0.0333 0.0333
4.25 0.0162 0.0160 0.0429 0.0414 0.0160 0.0160 0.0414 0.0414
4.5 0.0203 0.0199 0.0536 0.0513 0.0199 0.0199 0.0513 0.0513
4.75 0.0254 0.0248 0.0671 0.0635 0.0248 0.0248 0.0635 0.0635
5 0.0317 0.0309 0.0839 0.0785 0.0309 0.0309 0.0785 0.0785
5.25 0.0397 0.0384 0.1050 0.0966 0.0384 0.0384 0.0966 0.0966
5.5 0.0497 0.0477 0.1314 0.1184 0.0477 0.0477 0.1184 0.1184
5.75 0.0621 0.0591 0.1644 0.1446 0.0591 0.0591 0.1446 0.1446
6 0.0777 0.0730 0.2057 0.1756 0.0730 0.0730 0.1756 0.1756
6.25 0.0973 0.0900 0.2573 0.2119 0.0900 0.0900 0.2119 0.2119
6.5 0.1217 0.1105 0.3219 0.2538 0.1105 0.1105 0.2538 0.2538
6.75 0.1523 0.1351 0.4027 0.3015 0.1351 0.1351 0.3015 0.3015
7 0.1905 0.1644 0.5039 0.3549 0.1644 0.1644 0.3549 0.3549