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PLOS One logoLink to PLOS One
. 2020 Nov 16;15(11):e0236525. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236525

Long-term outcomes of psychological interventions on children and young people’s mental health: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Stephen Pilling 1,2,*, Peter Fonagy 1, Elizabeth Allison 1, Phoebe Barnett 1,2, Chloe Campbell 1, Matthew Constantinou 1, Tessa Gardner 1, Nicolas Lorenzini 1, Hannah Matthews 1,2, Alana Ryan 1, Sofia Sacchetti 1, Alexandra Truscott 1, Tamara Ventura 1, Kate Watchorn 1, Craig Whittington 3, Tim Kendall 2
Editor: Stephan Doering4
PMCID: PMC7668611  PMID: 33196654

Abstract

Background

Over 600 RCTs have demonstrated the effectiveness of psychosocial interventions for children and young people’s mental health, but little is known about the long-term outcomes. This systematic review sought to establish whether the effects of selective and indicated interventions were sustained at 12 months.

Method

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis focusing on studies reporting medium term outcomes (12 months after end of intervention).

Findings

We identified 138 trials with 12-month follow-up data, yielding 165 comparisons, 99 of which also reported outcomes at end of intervention, yielding 117 comparisons. We found evidence of effect relative to control at end of intervention (K = 115, g = 0.39; 95% CI: 0.30–0.47 I2 = 84.19%, N = 13,982) which was maintained at 12 months (K = 165, g = 0.31, CI: 0.25–0.37, I2 = 77.35%, N = 25,652) across a range of diagnostic groups. We explored the impact of potential moderators on outcome, including modality, format and intensity of intervention, selective or indicated intervention, site of delivery, professional/para-professional and fidelity of delivery. We assessed both risk of study bias and publication bias.

Conclusions

Psychosocial interventions provided in a range of settings by professionals and paraprofessionals can deliver lasting benefits. High levels of heterogeneity, moderate to high risk of bias for most studies and evidence of publication bias require caution in interpreting the results. Lack of studies in diagnostic groups such as ADHD and self-harm limit the conclusions that can be drawn. Programmes that increase such interventions’ availability are justified by the benefits to children and young people and the decreased likelihood of disorder in adulthood.

Introduction

The under-treatment of children and young people’s mental disorder is ubiquitous globally [1], yet problems at this age are harbingers of adult disorders. Fifty percent of all adult mental ill-health is diagnosable by 14 years of age, and 75% by 18–25 years [2, 3]. Many children and young people also experience significant sub-threshold symptoms which may be precursors to the development of a mental disorder [46]. Access to treatments associated with long-term benefits could both address the unmet need for children and young people and reduce adult rates of mental ill-health.

Universal prevention efforts to address children and young people’s mental health have not yet reached consensus on how to reduce the burden associated with mental health problems [79]. Despite considerable efforts, the evidence for universal programs is not robust and there is uncertainty about their long-term impact [10]. The challenge of universal prevention is addressing the wide range of interrelated risk factors (individual, family, school, community) which require comprehensive multilevel approaches [10].

In general, selective and indicated prevention programmes appear more clinically and cost-effective [11]. Given the complications of pharmacological interventions there is a natural preference for psychosocial treatments for children and young people [12]. Psychosocial interventions for mental disorders in children and young people are known to be efficacious [13, 14]. A recent comprehensive meta-analysis reported medium end-of-treatment effect sizes based on 447 studies (13). However, there are no existing systematic reviews which report long-term treatment outcomes across a broad range of disorders, which is of particular importance given that the majority of mental disorders are identifiable before the age of 18 years. Understanding whether the benefits of treatment are sustained can inform policy priorities for children and young people’s mental health services and this review was undertaken in response to a request from United Kingdom’s English Department of Health to examine the overall long-term effects of psychological interventions. Further, while these reviews have focused on treatment modality as a predictor of outcome, other important parameters have not been explored, including the level of training of those offering interventions, the setting in which interventions are provided and the dose required to achieve long-term outcomes.

Materials and methods

Protocol and registration

This systematic review and meta-analysis adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. A protocol was developed and registered on PROSPERO (CRD42017081290). The protocol was adhered to except for the following deviations: (1) we undertook additional, exploratory subgroup analyses to explore heterogeneity in the data, and (2) we placed a stronger emphasis on long term outcomes, as end-of-treatment data has been comprehensively summarised in a recent report. All end of treatment data is presented as per protocol.

Objective

This review was undertaken to guide a major UK policy initiative [15], in order to explore (1) whether the effects of selective and indicated interventions were sustained in the longer term, (2) what models of intervention for which disorders had the most promising long-term outcomes, (3) what level of training and support was required for effective provision of interventions (4), whether delivery site (school, community or health setting) moderates the impact of interventions, and (5) what conditions are required to ensure robust provision of evidence-based interventions.

Eligibility criteria

All randomised controlled trials of psychological interventions for children or young people between 4 and 18 years old with or at risk of developing a mental health disorder, were potentially eligible for inclusion. Eligible mental health disorders comprised: anxiety disorders (including generalised anxiety disorder, obsessive compulsive disorder, panic disorder, social anxiety disorder and phobic disorders); conduct disorders (including oppositional defiant disorder and conduct disorder); depressive disorders (including depression and clinically significant sub-threshold symptoms); eating disorders (including anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa and binge eating disorder); post-traumatic stress disorder; substance misuse (including drug and alcohol misuse); self-harm; and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. Studies eligible for inclusion were those where the mean age of the sample was between 4 and 18, interventions were compared against a no-treatment control, wait list, attentional control, treatment as usual or an active intervention control and reported outcomes at 9–18 months post-treatment. We chose this timeframe because (a) very few studies collect data beyond 18 months, (b) intercurrent treatments present a major challenge for interpreting outcomes beyond this and (c) the majority of relapse occurs within the first year following treatment completion [16, 17]. Studies were excluded if their participant sample were recruited from inpatient settings (as the severity of the disorders in in-patient populations were unlikely to initially treated in school or community settings), had only a solely pharmacological control arm (as we wanted these intervention to be deliverable in school settings where pharmacological interventions were not routinely available), evaluated universal preventive interventions (as evidence suggested they may not have lasting effects), were published only as dissertations, abstracts or conference proceedings or were from non-OECD countries (as we wanted to considered a range of contextual factors such which could only be explored in OECD countries).

Information sources

The following data bases were searched: PsycINFO; EMBASE; MEDLINE; ERIC (Educational Resources Index); BEI (British Education Index); the Cochrane Library (all databases); Specialised Register of the Cochrane Common Mental Disorders Group (CCMD-CTR); Headspace Research Database (National Youth Mental Health Foundation, Australia. Searches were restricted to 1960–2017 and English language only. The date of the last search was 21stst May 2019. Reference lists of all included studies were also hand-searched to identify further relevant studies.

Search strategy

A comprehensive search strategy was developed and all relevant bibliographic databases were searched with terms modified for each specific database. Search strategies are included in S1 Fig.

Study selection

Each paper was identified as eligible for inclusion by at least two reviewers. Three reviewers independently screened all abstracts identified in the initial search and excluded studies that did not meet inclusion criteria. Full-text articles were subsequently reviewed in duplicate, and in cases of disagreement consensus was achieved through referral to a senior reviewer (SP or PF).

Data collection process

Seven categories of data were extracted using a standardized data extraction form. All data items were double extracted.

Data items

The following data items were extracted: demographic and clinical characteristics of the sample; programme type (selective or indicated; we included treatment interventions in the indicated category because inclusion criteria for these two types of interventions are often very similar, e.g. scoring above a certain value on a symptom severity scale); programme content including manualization, mode of delivery, duration and intensity of the intervention (that is the time over which the intervention was provided and the total time spent in delivering the intervention); comparator type (treatment as usual/waitlist/attentional control/no treatment control or active comparator), content, mode of delivery and duration of the comparator; intervention location (US or non-US); intervention setting (school, community or clinic setting); intervention agent (teacher, professional or paraprofessional); and studies’ methodological characteristics (see quality assessment below). Based on expert consensus a hierarchy of preferred outcomes and a method for identifying outcomes in studies reporting multiple outcomes was specified for each disorder prior to data extraction of outcome measures (see S2 File). This determined the extraction of outcomes at baseline 12-month follow up, and at post-intervention where available.

Risk of bias

The Cochrane Risk of Bias tool was used to assess the methodological quality of the eligible studies [18]. The impact of publication bias and heterogeneity was assessed by visual assessment and statistical analysis of funnel plots [19]. We also assessed the impact of date of publication on the study outcome. All methods were considered in the interpretation of the results.

Summary measures

We calculated overall summary estimates and 95% CIs with a random-effects meta-analysis, which is to be preferred when there are high levels of heterogeneity [20], using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software (CMA V3). Hedges’ g was used as a summary statistic to facilitate comparisons within and between disorders. The majority of trials reported continuous outcomes (123/138 at follow-up, 99/99 at end of intervention); where this was not the case dichotomous outcomes (odds ratios) were converted to Hedges’ g values.

Data analysis

We conducted subgroup analyses by performing a series of separate meta-analyses to explore the associations between each of a range of moderators alone and by disorder, (see Table 2A for a complete list of all moderators) and ESs at post-intervention and 12-month follow-up. Subgroup analyses were conducted using a random-effects ANOVA, which partitions the variance (Q) into within-study (QW) and between-study (QB) components using random-effects weights, and is equivalent to the meta-regression approach with binary indictors (Ref: https://www.meta-analysis.com/downloads/Meta-analysis%20Subgroups%20analysis.pdf). We did not assume a common within-study variance across levels of the moderator/subgroups because of the likelihood of substantial heterogeneity. We used the QB variance component (equivalent to QM omnibus test in meta-regression) to determine whether the effect size was differentially associated with different levels of a moderator and compared the direction of significant between levels using confidence intervals.

Table 2. Subgroup analysis at end of treatment and follow-up across all disorders.

End of Intervention Follow-up
K G (95% CI) I2 Q(df) K G (95% CI) I2 Q(df)
Population
    Age
Under 12 54 0.45 (0.28–0.63) 87.63 76 0.40 (0.29–0.50) 77.58
Over 12 61 0.35 (0.25–0.44) 79.48 1.11 (df = 1) 0.292 89 0.25 (0.18–0.32) 76.41 5.43 (df = 1)* 0.020
    Nationality
US 71 0.44 (0.33–0.55) 85.36 99 0.35 (0.28–0.43) 79.68
Non-US 44 0.30 (0.15–0.44) 81.96 2.39 (df = 1) 0.122 66 0.24 (0.16–0.33) 72.98 3.41 (df = 1) 0.065
    Severity
Selected 28 0.21 (0.09–0.32) 77.62 44 0.25 (0.16–0.33) 76.49
Indicated 87 0.47 (0.35–0.59) 85.14 9.45 (df = 1)** 0.002 121 0.35 (0.27–0.42) 77.43 2.96 (df = 1) 0.085
    Disorder
Anxiety 36 0.61 (0.34–0.89) 89.71 43 0.51 (0.34–0.68) 81.29
Conduct 23 0.20 (0.05–0.35) 76.54 44 0.23 (0.14–0.33) 71.16
Depressive 28 0.38 (0.24–0.53) 77.67 30 0.21 (0.10–0.32) 61.36
Eating 8 0.49 (0.15–0.84) 84.73 12 0.48 (0.12–0.85) 90.38
Post-traumatic stress 6 0.66 (0.28–1.03) 67.75 9 0.34 (0.09–0.58) 66.15
Substance 14 0.19 (0.01–0.38) 78.47 13.48 (df = 5)* 0.019 27 0.26 (0.15–0.36) 77.72 11.06 (df = 5)* 0.050
Intervention
    Modality
Individual CBT / BT 23 0.54 (0.25–0.82) 89.98 31 0.37 (0.21–0.52) 77.62
Group CBT 25 0.26 (0.11–0.42) 76.54 27 0.23 (0.07–0.38) 75.85
Family-based 18 0.78 (0.41–1.16) 91.21 19 0.68 (0.37–1.00) 88.40
Parent training 13 0.33 (0.13–0.52) 83.69 29 0.24 (0.14–0.34) 65.17
Psychoeducation/skills 3 0.18 (-0.15–0.51) 0 4 0.49 (0.12–0.86) 61.14
Psychotherapy 7 0.44 (0.08–0.79) 81.67 8 0.56 (0.11–1.01) 89.59
Multiple intervention 20 0.40 (0.24–0.57) 65.77 28 0.23 (0.10–0.36) 65.18
Other 6 -0.12 (-0.27–0.04) 3.34 38.65 (df = 7)** < .0001 19 0.21 (0.12–0.31) 64.74 13.54 (df = 7) 0.060
    Format
Group or mixed 54 0.33 (0.23–0.43) 77.40 77 0.26 (0.18–0.33) 76.88
Individual 61 0.46 (0.30–0.61) 87.64 1.80 (df = 1) 0.180 88 0.36 (0.27–0.45) 77.59 3.19 (df = 1) 0.074
    Intensity
Low 38 0.28 (0.16–0.40) 79.76 60 0.20 (0.13–0.26) 62.24
Moderate 57 0.52 (0.36–0.68) 87.96 74 0.45 (0.34–0.56) 83.93
High 20 0.27 (0.12–0.42) 65.28 6.51 (df = 2)* 0.041 31 0.28 (0.15–0.40) 69.40 14.56 (df = 2)**0.001
    Manualisation
Manualised 99 0.39 (0.30–0.49) 84.16 146 0.31 (0.25–0.37) 77.36
Not manualized 16 0.36 (0.10–0.63) 85.07 0.04 (df = 1) 0.847 19 0.30 (0.13–0.46) 78.17 0.02 (df = 1) 0.882
    Fidelity Check
Absent 44 0.30 (0.16–0.43) 79.14 64 0.30 (0.22–0.38) 72.04
Present 71 0.44 (0.32–0.55) 85.69 2.34 (df = 1) 0.126 101 0.31 (0.23–0.39) 79.90 0.04 (df = 1) 0.845
Design and setting
    Control type
Active 55 0.31 (0.20–0.43) 75.63 64 0.29 (0.19–0.40) 73.88
Attentional 21 0.68 (0.34–1.02) 92.60 32 0.53 (0.35–0.70) 88.49
TAU 23 0.40 (0.23–0.56) 84.78 44 0.22 (0.14–0.30) 67.20
Waitlist/no treatment 16 0.32 (0.09–0.56) 81.43 4.39 (df = 3) 0.222 25 0.26 (0.14–0.38) 66.21 10.00 (df = 3)* 0.019
    Setting
Clinic 58 0.50 (0.34–0.67) 86.28 78 0.38 (0.27–0.49) 81.98
Community 25 0.30 (0.13–0.43) 82.53 41 0.23 (0.14–0.33) 66.62
School 30 0.32 (0.18–0.46) 79.58 9.29 (df = 2) 0.026* 43 0.28 (0.19–0.38) 74.96 4.28 (df = 2) 0.233
    Agent
Professional 80 0.40 (0.28–0.53) 86.33 113 0.35 (0.27–0.42) 78.83
Paraprofessional 34 0.35 (0.23–0.47) 76.25 1.64 (df = 1) 0.440 51 0.23 (0.14–0.32) 73.62 4.65 (df = 1) 0.098
    Date
1985–1999 20 0.46 (0.25–0.67) 61.69 23 0.58 (0.37–0.80) 70.07
2000–2009 37 0.62 (0.39–0.84) 90.16 44 0.48 (0.3–0.65) 85.48
2010–2018 58 0.25 (0.16–0.35) 79.50 10.07 (df = 2)** 0.006 98 0.22 (0.16–0.27) 69.73 16.92 (df = 2)** 0.000

We reported change scores (K = 111 from 99 studies at end of intervention and K = 165 from 138 studies at follow up) and adjusted for baseline scores inserting a correlation of 0.75. We considered CIs that did not overlap the line of no effect to be statistically significant and a Hedges’ g of 0.2 or greater to be of clinical importance [21]. The heterogeneity between studies was calculated using the heterogeneity I2 statistic where an estimate above 40% suggests presence of heterogeneity [22].

All analyses were done using CMA V3. We chose to use Egger’s test of bias rather than Orwin’s failsafe N because Orwin’s test is not available for a random effects meta-analysis in CMA V3.

Results

Study selection

A total of 19,781 reports were identified in the initial search from which 3,811 were removed as duplicates. 15,970 titles and abstracts were then reviewed, identifying 863 potential studies for inclusion. The reviewers independently screened the full text of these and excluded 735 that did not meet inclusion or met exclusion criteria. This resulted in 128 treatment trials of psychosocial interventions where 12-month follow-up data were available. This search was supplemented with an update search conducted 21/05/19, which retrieved an additional 2800 records, of which 134 studies were screened, with ten additional studies meeting inclusion criteria, resulting in a total of 138 studies included in the review. The systematic review process is depicted in Fig 1.

Fig 1. PRISMA diagram.

Fig 1

Study characteristics

Summary study characteristics are presented in Table 1. At baseline the studies included a total of 14,954 participants. Sample sizes varied widely (min 20, max 1,730). The 138 included studies yielded 165 comparisons containing 12-month follow-up data which were the focus of this analysis.

Table 1. Study characteristics.

Study Primary disorder(s) Country Setting Age (M (range)) Diagnostic status Control Format (individual, group, mixed)
Arnarson 2011/2009a Depression Iceland School NR (14–15) Indicated TAU Group
Augimeri 2007a Conduct Disorder Canada Community 8.9 (NR-12) Indicated Attentional Mixed
August. 2004 Conduct Disorder USA Community 6.3 (5–7) Indicated Waitlist Mixed
Barrett 1996 Anxiety Australia Clinic 9.3 (7–14) Indicated Active Individual
Barrett 1998 Anxiety Australia Clinic NR (7–14) Indicated Active Group
Barrett 2005 Anxiety Australia Clinic 11.9 (7–17) Indicated Active Individual
Barrington 2005 Anxiety Australia Clinic 10.0 (7–14) Indicated TAU Mixed
Bayer 2018 Anxiety Australia Community 4.6 (4–5) Selective TAU Group
Beardslee 2013a Depression USA Clinic 14.8 (13–17) Indicated TAU Group
Bernal 1980a Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 8.4 (5–12) Indicated Active Individual
Bernstein 2008 Anxiety USA School NR (7–11) Indicated Waitlist Group
Bjorseth 2016 Conduct Disorder Norway CAMHS 5.8 (2–8) Indicated TAU Individual
Burke 2015a Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 8.5 (NR) Indicated Attentional Mixed
Butler 2011 Conduct Disorder UK Community 15.1 (NR) Indicated TAU Individual
Cartwright-Hatton 2011 Anxiety UK Clinic 6.6 (3–9) Indicated Waitlist Group
Cavell & Hughes 2000 Conduct Disorder USA School, Home 7.6 (NR) Selective Attentional Mixed
Clark 1994a Conduct Disorder USA Community NR (7–15) Selective TAU Individual
Clark 2010 Substance Misuse USA School 16.7 (NR) Selective TAU Mixed
Clarke 1995 Depression USA School 15.3 (NR) Selective Attentional Group
Clarke 2001 Depression USA Clinic 14.6 (13–18) Indicated TAU Group
Clarke 2002 Depression USA Clinic 15.3 (13–18) Indicated TAU Group
Clarke 2016 Depression USA Clinic 14.6 (12–18) Indicated TAU Individual
Cobham 1998 Anxiety Australia Clinic 9.6 (7–14) Indicated Active Group
Cohen 2005 PTSD USA Clinic 11.1 (8–15) Indicated Active Individual
Conrod 2010 Substance Misuse UK School 14.0 (13–16) Selective Waitlist Group
Conrod 2011/Conrod 2008 Substance Misuse UK School 14.0 (13–16) Selective Waitlist Group
Creswell 2015.1a Anxiety UK Clinic 10.2 (7–12) Indicated Active Individual
Creswell 2015.2a Anxiety UK Clinic 10.2 (7–12) Indicated Active Individual
Cunningham 2012.1a Conduct Disorder, Substance Misuse USA Clinic 16.8 (14–18) Selective Attentional Individual
Cunningham 2012.2a Conduct Disorder, Substance Misuse USA Clinic 16.8 (14–18) Selective Attentional Individual
Dakof 2015 Substance Misuse USA Youth offending services 16.0 (13–18) Indicated Active Individual
Damico 2018 Substance Misuse USA Clinic 16.0 (12–15) Indicated TAU Individual
Deblinger 1999.1 PTSD USA Clinic 9.9 (7–13) Indicated TAU Individual
Deblinger 1999.2 PTSD USA Clinic 9.9 (7–13) Indicated TAU Individual
Deblinger 2006 PTSD USA Clinic 10.8 (8–14) Indicated Active Individual
Dishion 1995 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 12.0 (10–14) Indicated Active Group
Duong 2016 Depression USA School 12.8 (12–14) Indicated Active Group
Estrada 2019 Substance Misuse USA Online 13.6 (NR) Selective TAU Group
Flannery-Schroeder 2005 Anxiety USA Clinic NR (8–14) Indicated Active Individual
Foa 2013 PTSD USA Clinic 15.3 (13–18) Indicated Active Individual
Forgatch 1999 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 7.8 (6–10) Selective Waitlist Group
Garcia-Lopez 2014 Anxiety Spain School 15.4 (13–18) Indicated Active Group
Ghaderi 2018 Conduct Disorder Sweden Online NR (10–13) Indicated Active Individual
Godley 2010a Substance Misuse USA NR 15.9 (12–18) Indicated Active Individual
Godley 2014 Substance Misuse USA Community 15.7 (12–18) Indicated TAU Individual
Goodyer 2017.1 Depression UK Clinic 15 (11–17) Indicated Active Individual
Goodyer 2017.2 Depression UK Clinic 15 (11–17) Indicated Active Individual
Goossens 2016 Conduct Disorder Netherlands School 14.0 (NR) Selective Waitlist Group
Gowers 2007 Eating Disorders UK Clinic 14.1 (12–18) Indicated TAU Individual
Hagen 2011 Conduct Disorder Norway Community 8.4 (4–12) Indicated TAU Individual
Halldorsdottir 2016 Anxiety N America Clinic 9.1 (7–16) Indicated Active Individual
Hautmann 2018 Conduct Disorder Germany Home 7.7 (4–11) Indicated Active Individual
Humayun 2017 Conduct Disorder UK Agency 15.0 (NR) Indicated TAU Individual
Hurlbert 2013 Conduct Disorder USA Community 4.7 (NR) Selective TAU Group
Jouriles 2009a Conduct Disorder USA Community NR (4–9) Indicated TAU Individual
Kazdin 1992 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 10.3 (7–13) Indicated Active Individual
Kendall 2008.1 Anxiety USA Clinic 10.3 (7–14) Indicated Attentional Individual
Kendall 2008.2 Anxiety USA Clinic 10.3 (7–14) Indicated Attentional Individual
Lammers 2015a Substance Misuse Netherlands School 14.0 (12–16) Selective Waitlist/no treatment Group
Larsson 2009 Conduct Disorder Norway Clinic 6.6 (4–8) Indicated Active Group
Le Grange 2015 Eating Disorders USA Clinic 15.8 (12–18) Indicated Active Individual
Le Grange 2016 Eating Disorders Australia Clinic 15.5 (12–18) Indicated Active Individual
Lee 2016 Anxiety USA School 9.0 (7–11) Indicated Waitlist Group
Letourneau 2013 Conduct Disorder USA Community 14.7 (11–17) Indicated TAU Individual
Lewinsohn 1990 Depression USA Clinic 16.2 (14–18) Indicated Active Group
Liddle 2001 Substance Misuse USA Clinic 15.9 (13–18) Indicated Active Individual
Liddle 2008 Substance Misuse USA Clinic 15.4 (12–18) Indicated Active Individual
Lochman 2004.1 Conduct Disorder USA School (9–11) Indicated No treatment control Group
Lochman 2004.2 Conduct Disorder USA Community (9–11) Indicated No treatment control Group
Lochman 2014 Conduct Disorder USA School 10.7 (9–12) Selective TAU Group
Lochman 2015 Conduct Disorder USA School 10.2 (9–12) Selective Active Individual
Lock 2010 Eating Disorder USA Clinic 14.4 (12–18) Indicated Active Individual
Mahu 2015 Substance Misuse England School 13.7 (0.33) Selective TAU Group
Mannarino 2012/Deblinger 2011 PTSD USA Clinic 7.7 (4–11) Indicated Active Individual
Mannassis 2010 Anxiety, Depression Canada School NR (8–12) Selective Attentional Group
McGrath 2011a Conduct Disorder, Anxiety Canada Home 7.5 (3–12) Indicated TAU Individual
Newton 2016 Substance Misuse Australia School 13.4 (13–14) Selective TAU Group
Ogden 2006 Conduct Disorder Norway Community 15.1 (12–17) Indicated TAU Individual
Olivares 2014 Anxiety Spain School 15.4 (14–18) Indicated Active Group
Olivares-Olivares 2008 Anxiety Spain School 15.3 (14–18) Indicated Active Mixed
Olthius 2018 Conduct Disorder Canada Home 8.5 (6–12) Indicated TAU Individual
O'Shea 2015 Depression Australia Clinic or school counselling facilities 15.3 (13–19) Indicated Active Individual
Ost 2001 Anxiety Sweden Community 11.7 (7–17) Indicated Active Individual
Ost 2015 Anxiety Sweden NR 11.6 (8–14) Indicated Active Mixed
Pella 2017 Anxiety USA Clinic 8.7 (6–13) Selective Attentional Individual
Poppelaars 2016 Depression Netherlands School, Computer 13.4 (11–16) Indicated Waitlist Mixed
Rasing 2018 Depression, Anxiety Netherlands NR 12.9 (11–15) Indicated Waitlist Group
Robin 1995 Eating Disorder USA Clinic 14.1 (11–20) Indicated Active Individual
Robin 1999 Eating Disorder USA Clinic 14.3 (12–19) Indicated Active Individual
Rohde 2004 Depression, Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 15.1 (13–17) Indicated Active Group
Rohde 2014 Depression, Substance Misuse USA Clinic 16.2 (13–18) Indicated Active Mixed
Rohde 2015.1 Depression USA School 15.5 (13–19) Indicated Attentional Group
Rohde 2015.2 Depression USA School 15.5 (13–19) Indicated Attentional Individual
Ruggiero 2015 PTSD USA Computer 14.5 (12–17) Indicated Attentional Individual
Salerno 2016 Eating Disorders UK Clinic 16.9 (12–21) Indicated TAU Individual
Salloum 2012 PTSD USA School 9.6 (6–12) Indicated Active Group
Salzer 2018 Anxiety Germany Clinic 17.4 (14–20) Indicated Active Individual
Sandler 2019 Conduct Disorder, Depression USA Community NR (3–18) Selective Active Group
Santacruz 2006.1 Anxiety Spain Home 6.5 (4–8) Indicated Waitlist Individual
Santacruz 2006.2 Anxiety Spain Home 6.5 (4–8) Indicated Waitlist Individual
Saulsberry 2013 Depression USA Clinic 17.3 (14–21) Indicated Active Individual
Schaeffer 2014 Substance Misuse USA Community 15.8 (15–18) Selective TAU Group
Schneider 2013 Anxiety Germany Clinic 10.4 (8–13) Indicated Active Individual
Scott 2010 Conduct Disorder UK School 5.5 (5–6) Indicated TAU Group
Sheffield 2006 Depression Australia School 14.3 (13–15) Indicated TAU Group
Silk 2018 a Anxiety USA NR 11.0 (9–14) Indicated Active Individual
Silverman 1999.1 Anxiety USA Clinic 9.9 (6–16) Indicated Attentional Individual
Silverman 1999.2 Anxiety USA Clinic 9.9 (6–16) Indicated Attentional Individual
Silverman 2009 Anxiety USA Clinic 9.9 (7–16) Indicated Active Individual
Simon 2011.1 Anxiety Netherlands School 9.9 (8–13) Indicated Waitlist Group
Simon 2011.2 Anxiety Netherlands School 9.9 (8–13) Indicated Active Group
Slesnick 2009.1 Substance Misuse USA Community 15.1 (12–17) Indicated TAU Individual
Slesnick 2009.2 Substance Misuse USA Clinic 15.1 (12–17) Indicated TAU Individual
Slesnick 2013 Substance Misuse USA Community 15.4 (12–17) Indicated Active Individual
Solantaus 2010 Depression Finland Community NR (8–16) Selective Active Individual
Somech 2012 Conduct Disorder Israel Community 4.0 (NR) Selective TAU Group
Sourander 2016 Conduct Disorder Finland Clinic 4 (4–4) Indicated Attentional Individual
Spence 2000 Anxiety Australia Clinic 10.7 (7–14) Indicated Active Group
Spence 2006 Anxiety Australia Clinic 10.0 (7–14) Indicated Active Group
Spence 2011 Anxiety Australia Clinic 14.0 (12–18) Indicated Active Individual
Spijkers 2013 Conduct Disorder Netherlands Clinic 10.6 (5–11) Indicated Active Individual
Spirito 2004 Substance Misuse USA Emergency department 15.6 (NR) Selective TAU Individual
Spirito 2011 Substance Misuse USA Emergency department 15.0 (13–17) Selective Active Individual
Sportel 2013.1 Anxiety Netherlands School 14.1 (13–15) Selective Waitlist Group
Sportel 2013.2 Anxiety Netherlands Internet 14.1 (13–15) Selective Waitlist Individual
Stefini 2017a Eating Disorders Germany Clinic 18.7 (14–20) Indicated Active Individual
Stewart-Brown 2004 Conduct Disorder UK Community 4.6 (2–8) Indicated Waitlist Group
Stice 2010.1 Depression USA Mixed (school and reading material) 15.6 (14–19) Selective Attentional Group
Stice 2010.2 Depression USA Mixed (school and reading material) 15.6 (14–19) Selective Attentional Group
Stice 2010.3 Depression USA Mixed (school and reading material) 15.6 (14–19) Selective Attentional Individual (reading matter)
Stice 2009 Eating Disorders USA Clinic 15.7 (14–19) Selective Attentional Group
Stice 2006.1 Eating Disorders USA Clinic 17.1 (14–19) Selective Waitlist Group
Stice 2006.2 Eating Disorders USA Clinic 17.1 (14–19) Selective Waitlist Group
Stolberg 1994 Anxiety, Depression USA School 9.8 (8–12) Selective Waitlist Group
Sussman 2012a Substance Misuse USA School 16.8 (14–21) Selective TAU Group
Szapocznik 1989.1 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 9.2 (6–12) Selective Attentional Individual
Szapocznik 1989.2 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 9.2 (6–12) Selective Attentional Individual
Tanofsky-Kraff 2016a Eating Disorders USA Clinic 14.5 (12–17) Selective Attentional Mixed
Turner 2014 Anxiety UK Clinic 14.4 (11–18) Indicated Active Individual
Van Manen 2004 Conduct Disorder Netherlands Clinic 11.2 (9–13) Indicated Active Group
Walker 2016 Substance Misuse USA School 15.8 (14–17) Indicated Attentional Individual
Walton 2013.1 Substance Misuse USA Clinic 16.3 (12–18) Selective TAU Individual
Walton 2013.2 Substance Misuse USA Clinic 16.3 (12–18) Selective TAU Individual
Waters 2009 Anxiety Australia Clinic 6.8 (4–8) Indicated Active Group
Webster-Stratton 1984 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 4.7 (NR) Indicated Active Individual
Webster-Stratton 1997 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic, School 5.7 (4–7) Indicated Active individual
Webster-Stratton 2004 Conduct Disorder USA Clinic 5.9 (4–8) Indicated Active Group
Weiss 1999 Conduct Disorder, Depression USA School 10.3 (NR) Indicated Attentional Individual
Weiss 2013 Conduct Disorder USA Home 14.5 (13–17) Indicated TAU Individual
Wergeland 2014 Anxiety Norway Clinic 11.5 (8–15) Indicated Active Individual
Winters 2014 Substance Misuse USA School 16.1 (13–17) Indicated Active Individual
Wood 2009 Anxiety USA NR 10.0 (6–13) Indicated Active Individual
Woods 2011 Depression New Zealand School 14.0 (N) Indicated TAU Group
Young 2009 Depression USA School 13.4 (11–16) Selective TAU Mixed
Young 2012 Depression USA School 14.0 (11–17) Indicated TAU Mixed
Study Mode of delivery (digital, face to face, phone, reading matter) Type of intervention Manualised treatment Fidelity check N Intervention delivery personnel Number of sessions
Arnarson 2011/2009a Face to face Group CBT Yes No 113 Professional 14/15
Augimeri 2007a Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 24 Paraprofessional 12
August. 2004 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 327 Paraprofessional 144
Barrett 1996 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 53 Professional 12
Barrett 1998 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 34 Professional 12
Barrett 2005 Face to face Family intervention (CBT) Yes Yes 51 Professional 16
Barrington 2005 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 48 Paraprofessional 12
Bayer 2018 Face to face Parenting Yes No 545 Professional 4
Beardslee 2013a Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 316 Professional 14
Bernal 1980a Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 24 Professional 10
Bernstein 2008 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 37 Professional 11
Bjorseth 2016 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 65 Professional 21
Burke 2015a Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 252 Professional 12
Butler 2011 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 101 Professional 29
Cartwright-Hatton-2011 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 67 Professional 10
Cavell & Hughes 2000 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 60 Paraprofessional 69
Clark 1994a Face to face Other No No 132 Professional 78
Clark 2010 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 1,730 Professional 7
Clarke 1995 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 125 Professional 15
Clarke 2001 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 94 Professional 15
Clarke 2002 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 88 Professional 16
Clarke 2016 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 212 Professional 6
Cobham 1998 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 20 Professional 14
Cohen 2005 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 82 Professional 12
Conrod 2010 Face to face Other (personality targeted) Yes No 691 Professional 3
Conrod 2011/Conrod 2008 Face to face Other (personality targeted) Yes No 347 Professional 3
Creswell 2015a Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 140 Professional 32
Creswell 2015a Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 140 Professional 32
Cunningham 2012.1a Face to face Other—motivational interviewing Yes No 727 Professional 1
Cunningham 2012.2a Digital Other—motivational interviewing Yes No 727 Professional 1
Dakof 2015 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 112 Professional 43
Damico 2018 Face to face Other: motivational interviewing No Yes 294 Paraprofessional
Deblinger 1999.1 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 33 Professional 12
Deblinger 1999.2 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes No 33 Professional 12
Deblinger 2006 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 180 Professional 12
Dishion 1995 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 53 Professional 24
Duong 2016 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 111 Paraprofessional 12
Estrada 2019 Digital Family CBT No Yes Paraprofessional 12
Flannery-Schroeder 2005 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes No 25 Paraprofessional 18
Foa 2013 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 61 Professional 11
Forgatch 1999 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 168 Paraprofessional 14
Garcia-Lopez 2014 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 60 Paraprofessional 17
Ghaderi 2018 Digital Parenting Yes Yes Professional 7
Godley 2010a Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 161 Professional 7
Godley 2014 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes
Yes
No
No
223 Professional 10–14
Goodyer 2017.1 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 465 Professional 24–28
Goodyer 2017.2 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes Yes 465 Professional 24–28
Goossens 2016 Face to face Other—personality-targeted Yes No 530 Professional 12
Gowers 2007 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 102 Professional 26
Hagen 2011 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 112 Professional 13
Halldorsdottir 2016 Face to face Individual CBT Yes No 83 Professional 1
Hautmann 2018 Reading Material and Phone Parenting Yes No 149 Professional 12
Humayun 2017 Face to face Family intervention No No 111 Professional 12
Hurlbert 2013 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 378 Paraprofessional 6
Jouriles 2009a Face to face Parenting intervention Yes No 66 Professional 20
Kazdin 1992 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 50 Professional 41
Kendall 2008.1 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 161 Professional 16
Kendall 2008.2 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 161 Professional 16
Lammers 2015a Face to face Other—personality-targeted Yes No 696 Professional 2
Larsson 2009 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 106 Professional 30
Le Grange 2015 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 109 Professional 18
Le Grange 2016 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes No 106 Professional 16
Lee 2016 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 61 Professional 9
Letourneau 2013 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 124 Professional NR
Lewinsohn 1990 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 40 Paraprofessional 7
Liddle 2001 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 61 Professional 16
Liddle 2008 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 224 Professional 17
Lochman 2004.1 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 183 Paraprofessional 16–33 (depending on whether child only or child and parent)
Lochman 2004.2 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 183 Paraprofessional 16–33 (depending on whether child only or child and parent)
Lochman 2014 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 241 Paraprofessional 10
Lochman 2015 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes No 360 Paraprofessional 32
Lock 2010 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 121 Professional 24
Mahu 2015 Face to face Other—personality-targeted Yes No 2401 Professional 2
Mannarino 2012/Deblinger 2011 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 57 Professional 16
Mannassis 2010 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 148 Professional 12
McGrath 2011a Digital, phone and reading material Parenting intervention Yes Yes 243 Paraprofessional 12
Newton 2016 Face to face Other—personality-targeted Yes Yes 344 Professional 2
Ogden 2006 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 75 Professional 24
Olivares 2014 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 75 Professional 12
Olivares-Olivares 2008 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 37 Professional 24
Olthuis 2018 Reading Material and Phone Parenting No Yes 172 NR 14
O'Shea 2015 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes Yes 39 Professional 16
Ost 2001 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 60 Professional 1
Ost 2015 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 52 Professional 22
Pella 2017 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 136 Professional 8
Poppelaars 2016 Face to face and digital Group CBT Yes Yes 152 Professional 8
Rasing 2018 Face to face Group CBT No Yes 142 Professional 6
Robin 1995 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 22 Professional 42
Robin 1999 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 36 Professional 42
Rohde 2004 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 93 Paraprofessional 16
Rohde 2014 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 45 Professional 16
Rohde 2015.1 Face to face Group CBT Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
378 Paraprofessional 6
Rohde 2015.2 Reading matter Individual cognitive and behavioural Yes Yes 378 Paraprofessional 6
Ruggiero 2015 Digital Psychoeducation skills training Yes Yes 496 Professional NR
Salerno 2016 Digital, reading matter Parenting No No 149 Professional NR
Salloum 2012 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 64 Professional 12
Salzer 2018 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatment Yes Yes 108 Professional 25
Sandler 2019 Face to face Parenting Yes Yes 830 Paraprofessional 12
Santacruz 2006 Reading matter Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments No No 78 Paraprofessional 15
Santacruz 2006 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments No No 78 Paraprofessional 15
Saulsberry 2013 Face to face, digital Other—Motivational Interviewing No No 83 Professional 1
Schaeffer 2014 Face to face Other-Employment skills training No No 97 Paraprofessional 54
Schneider 2013 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 42 Professional 16
Scott 2010 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 172 Paraprofessional NR
Sheffield 2006 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 246 Paraprofessional 8
Silk 2018 a Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 133 Professional 9
Silverman 1999.1 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 81 Professional 10
Silverman 1999.2 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 81 Professional 10
Silverman 2009 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatment s Yes Yes 70 Paraprofessional 13
Simon 2011.1 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 183 Professional 8
Simon 2011.2 Face to face Parenting Yes Yes 183 Professional 8
Slesnick 2009.1 Face to face Family therapy Yes Yes 119 Professional 16
Slesnick 2009.2 Face to face Family therapy Yes Yes 119 Professional 16
Slesnick 2013 Face to face Individual CBT and behavioural treatment s Yes Yes 122 Professional 14
Solantaus 2010 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 106 Professional 6
Somech 2012 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 209 Professional 14
Sourander 2016 Digital Parenting intervention Yes Yes 464 Paraprofessional 22
Spence 2000 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes No 36 Professional 12
Spence 2006 Face to face Group CBT No Yes 45 Professional 16
Spence 2011 Face to face Individual CBT Yes Yes 88 Professional 10
Spijkers 2013 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes No 67 Paraprofessional 4
Spirito 2004 Face to face Other -motivational interviewing Yes Yes 124 Paraprofessional 1
Spirito 2011 Face to face Other -motivational interviewing No Yes 97 Professional 3
Sportel 2013.1 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 240 Paraprofessional 20
Sportel 2013.2 Digital Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes No 240 Paraprofessional 20
Stefini 2017a Face to face Individual CBT Yes Yes 81 Professional 60
Stewart-Brown 2004 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes No 116 Paraprofessional 10
Stice 2010.1 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 341 Professional 6
Stice 2010.2 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes Yes 341 Professional 6
Stice 2010.3 Reading matter Individual CBT (reading matter) Yes No (reading material) 341 Professional 6
Stice 2009 Face to face Group CBT No Yes 306 Paraprofessional 4
Stice 2006.1 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 358 Paraprofessional 3
Stice 2006.2 Face to face Group CBT Yes Yes 358 Paraprofessional 3
Stolberg 1994 Face to face Psychoeducation skills training Yes No 52 Paraprofessional 14
Sussman 2012a Face to face Psychoeducation skills training Yes Yes 791 Paraprofessional 12
Szapocznik 1989.1 Face to face Family intervention Yes No 58 Professional 18–19
Szapocznik 1989.2 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes No 58 Professional 18–19
Tanofsky-Kraff 2016a Face to face Psychotherapy Yes Yes 88 Professional 13
Turner 2014 Face to face Individual CBT Yes Yes 72 Professional 14
Van Manen 2004 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes No 82 Professional 11
Walker 2016 Face to face Other—motivational interviewing No Yes 231 Professional 24
Walton 2013.1 Face to face Other—motivational interviewing Yes No 338 Paraprofessional 1
Walton 2013.2 Digital Other—motivational interviewing Yes No 338 Paraprofessional 1
Waters 2009 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 69 Professional 20
Webster-Stratton 1984 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes No 31 Professional 9
Webster-Stratton 1997 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 48 Professional 23
Webster-Stratton 2004 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 56 Professional 56
Weiss 1999 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes No 160 Professional 90
Weiss 2013 Face to face Parenting intervention Yes Yes 164 Professional 10
Wergeland 2014 Face to face Individual cognitive and behavioural treatments Yes Yes 178 Professional 10
Winters 2014 Face to face Multiple interventions Yes Yes 236 Professional 3
Wood 2009 Face to face Family intervention Yes Yes 35 Professional 14
Woods 2011 Face to face Group CBT Yes No 24 Paraprofessional 8
Young 2009 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes No 41 Paraprofessional 10
Young 2012 Face to face Psychotherapy Yes No 98 Paraprofessional 8

Note. TAU = treatment as usual

a no change scores available

58 (35%) interventions had a significant CBT component, 48 (29%) were family or parenting based, 12 (7%) were psychoeducation or psychotherapeutic, 28 (17%) were combined interventions, and 19 (11%) were ‘other’. 113 (68%) were led by mental health professionals, 51 (31%) by paraprofessionals (school professionals or non-mental health professionals with intervention-specific training). Length of programmes varied from 1 to 144 sessions (median 12). Over 80% of outcomes measures were either self or parental report. 101 (61%) studies reported a method for assessing treatment fidelity. The most common disorders were conduct disorder (44 studies or 27%) and anxiety disorders (43 studies or 26%). Depressive disorders (29 studies or 18%) and substance misuse (27 studies or 16%) were also relatively common. Less common were eating disorders (12 studies or 7%) and PTSD (9 studies or 5%). The distribution of each study variable differed across disorders (see S1 Table).

Risk of bias within studies

The methodological quality of the studies as assessed by the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool varied considerably (see S2 Table). Generally, there was a high risk of bias, only 28 studies (20%) had relatively low risk of bias (i.e. high risk of bias in no more than one domain) though a further 70 had high risk of bias estimates in 2 domains. Almost half (47%) of all studies achieved low risk of bias ratings in only 2 or less domains.

Results of individual studies

Fig 2 presents the forest plots for each disorder, showing Hedges’ g with 95% confidence intervals for the intervention and control groups at 12-month follow-up.

Fig 2. Effects of interventions for each disorder at 12-month follow-up.

Fig 2

Where data was nominal, event counts have been added to the change score columns. Where only effect sizes were available, standardized mean differences (d) or odds ratios (OR) were added to the change score columns.

Synthesis of results

Meta-analyses were conducted to compare intervention and control groups across all disorders at post-intervention and 12-month follow-up. Overall effect size (ES) post-intervention was moderate (K = 115, g = 0.39; 95% CI: 0.30–0.47 I2 = 84.19%, N = 13,982). The overall ES was small to medium at 12 months follow-up (K = 165, g = 0.31, CI: 0.25–0.37, I2 = 77.31%, N = 25,652) (see Table 2 and Fig 2). A number of studies only reported 12-month follow-up data (K = 39). Excluding these studies, the ES at 12-month follow-up was slightly but not significantly higher (K = 115, g = 0.36, CI: 0.28–0.43 I2 = 78.88%). Across diagnostic groups there were small to medium statistically and clinically important effects at end of intervention (range from g = 0.19, 95% CI:0.01–0.38, I2 = 78.47% for substance misuse to g = 0.66, CI: 0.28–1.03 I2 = 67.75% for PTSD). These effects were largely maintained at 12-month follow-up with no overall statistically significant decline (range from g = 0.21 CI:0.10–0.32, I2 = 61.36% for depression to g = 0.51 CI: 0.34–0.68 I2 = 81.29% for anxiety disorders) although there was a more marked decline in the case of depression and PTSD. An overall effect of date of publication was identified with ESs declining for more recent publications for end of intervention (Q = 10.08, df = 2, p = 0.006) and follow-up (Q = 16.92, df = 2, p<0.001; see Table 2). It should also be noted that the I2 statistic was generally high throughout these analyses which probably reflects heterogeneity in trial populations and interventions types and supports the exploratory approach we took to sub-group analyses in this review. We also explored whether the heterogeneity in the analyses could be explained by risk of bias by comparing low risk of bias studies (that is, those with 2 or less ratings of “high risk of bias”) with those with higher risk of bias. Across disorders heterogeneity generally remained high, between 60% and 86% in analyses of low risk of bias studies which suggests that risk of bias is not a substantial contributor to heterogeneity in this review. We identified 5 potential studies which might include data on self-harm, of which only 2 reported relevant outcomes at 12 months. These studies were however excluded as the populations in the studies were outside the scope of the review.

Analyses of between-group differences identified a number of potential associations (see Table 2). In particular, at follow-up interventions for under 12 years of age, anxiety and eating disorders and interventions of moderate intensity had higher, but not significantly so, ESs.

Greater specificity was achieved when studies of specific diagnostic groups were analysed separately. Analyses at 12-month follow-up are shown in Tables 3 and 4. Analyses at end of treatment are provided in S3A and S3B Table. For conduct disorders outcomes were maintained at follow-up (g = 0.23 95% CI 0.14–0.33, see Table 2). Group-based CBT was associated with negative outcomes (g = -0.27, 95% CI -1.87–1.33) and mixed group and individual interventions were somewhat worse than individual treatments QB(1) = 6.93, p = .008). For CD professionals may do better, although not significantly, than paraprofessionals (professional: g = 0.32, 95% CI 0.18–0.47) paraprofessional: g = 0.15, 95% CI 0.01–0.37; QB(1) = 3.03, p = .220)).

Table 3. Subgroup analysis at follow-up for conduct and substance disorders.

Conduct Disorder Substance Misuse
K (N = 7,728) G (95% CI) I2 Q(df) K (N = 10,546) G (95% CI) I2 Q(df)
Population
    Age
Under 12 31 0.31 (0.20–0.42) 61.07
Over 12 11 0.12 (-0.08–0.32) 77.48 5.89 (df = 1) 27 0.26 (0.15–0.36) 77.72 0 (df = 0)
    Nationality
US 28 0.25 (0.12–0.38) 71.84 22 0.23 (0.11–0.34) 72.31
Non-US 16 0.22 (0.07–0.37) 71.79 0.09 (df = 1) 5 0.34 (0.16–0.53) 80.01 1.04 (df = 1)
    Severity
Selected 11 0.22 (0.10–0.35) 62.39 14 0.18 (0.07–0.30) 74.85
Indicated 33 0.24 (0.11–0.37) 73.74 0.03 (df = 1) 13 0.36 (0.18–0.54) 75.78 2.62 (df = 1)
Intervention
    Modality
Individual CBT / BT 3 0.24 (-0.3–0.77) 84.61 2 0.2 (-0.03–0.44) 0
Group CBT 2 -0.27 (-1.87–1.33) 96.62
Family-based 3 0.07 (-0.27–0.4) 17.71 6 0.53 (0.06–1.00) 87.90
Parenting training 22 0.28 (0.15–0.40) 67.00
Psychoeducation/skills 1 0.21 (0.08–0.35) 0
Psychotherapy 2 0.15 (-0.23–0.52) 16.12
Multiple intervention 8 0.29 (0.01–0.57) 70.87 4 0.07 (-0.12–0.27) 50.80
Other 4 0.18 (0.04–0.31) 33.19 2.62 (df = 6) 14 0.24 (0.13–0.35) 66.78 3.88 (df = 4)
    Format
Group or mixed 19 0.10 (-0.04–0.23) 71.38 11 0.23 (0.08–0.38) 84.46
Individual 25 0.35 (0.22–0.47) 64.88 6.93 (df = 1)** 16 0.29 (0.14–0.44) 71.09 0.34 (df = 1)
    Intensity
Low 10 0.24 (0.05–0.42) 70.09 15 0.21 (0.09–0.33) 78.46
Moderate 18 0.16 (-0.05–0.32) 74.44 8 0.53 (0.25–0.82) 82.99
High 16 0.32 (0.17–0.47) 62.16 2.02 (df = 2) 4 0.06 (-0.12–0.24) 0 7.58 (df = 2)*
    Manualisation
Manualised 38 0.22 (0.12–0.33) 72.45 24 0.29 (0.18–0.40) 78.92
Not manualized 6 0.30 (0.12–0.49) 46.00 0.52 (df = 1) 3 0.12 (-0.11–0.18) 7.17 7.15 (df = 1)**
    Fidelity Check
Absent 23 0.25 (0.13–0.37) 58.66 11 0.19 (0.06–0.33) 76.33
Present 21 0.22 (0.07–0.37) 78.88 0.08 (df = 1) 16 0.31 (0.16–0.47) 78.22 1.32 (df = 1)
Design and setting
    Control type
Active 13 0.20 (-0.07–0.47) 85.64 8 0.33 (0.08–0.59) 71.18
Attentional 7 0.31 (0.12–0.49) 54.74 8 0.41 (0.14–0.67) 83.96
TAU 18 0.30 (0.18–0.43) 49.88 9 0.14 (0.00–0.28) 77.74
Waitlist/no treatment 6 0.08 (-0.03–0.19) 0 8.29 (df = 3)* 2 0.23 (0.10–0.36) 0 3.95 (df = 3)
    Setting
Clinic 18 0.29 (0.08–0.49) 79.77 11 0.32 (0.12–0.52) 74.63
Community 19 0.16 (0.06–0.27) 47.93 7 0.25 (0.00–0.50) 67.89
School 7 0.26 (0.06–0.47) 71.82 1.49 (df = 2) 9 0.22 (0.07–0.37) 86.09 0.55 (df = 2)
    Agent
Professional 24 0.32 (0.18–0.47) 67.71 19 0.32 (0.18–0.46) 83.39
Paraprofessional 19 0.15 (0.01–0.29) 76.16 3.03 (df = 1) 8 0.14 (0.06–0.23) 0 4.53 (df = 1)*
    Date
1985–1999 10 0.41 (0.14–0.69) 64.17
2000–2009 12 0.07 (-0.18–0.32) 74.56 5 0.73 (0.42–1.05) 62.87
2010–2018 22 0.26 (0.15–0.37) 70.43 3.37 (df = 2) 22 0.18 (0.09–0.28) 72.72 10.95 (df = 1)**

Table 4. Subgroup analysis at follow-up for depressive and anxiety disorders.

Depressive Disorders Anxiety Disorders
K (N = 6,783) G (95% CI) I2 Q(df) K (N = 3,788) G (95% CI) I2 Q(df)
Population
    Age
Under 12 3 0.32 (-0.29–0.94) 86.70 34 0.56 (0.35–0.76) 83.79
Over 12 26 0.21 (0.09–0.32) 57.97 0.31 (df = 1) 9 0.36 (0.13–0.60) 60.69 1.41 (df = 1)
    Nationality
US 20 0.23 (0.12–0.35) 50.18 13 0.86 (0.40–1.33) 88.14
Non-US 10 0.20 (-0.03–0.43) 72.78 0.07 (df = 1) 30 0.35 (0.20–0.50) 70.51 4.23 (df = 1)*
    Severity
Selected 9 0.19 (0.04–0.34 33.04 5 0.32 (0.15–0.49) 24.44
Indicated 21 0.22 (0.08–0.37) 68.30 0.10 (df = 1) 38 0.54 (0.34–0.75) 83.07 2.74 (df = 1)
Intervention
    Modality
Individual CBT / BT 4 0.10 (-0.05–0.25) 0 14 0.67 (0.30–1.05) 84.78
Group CBT 14 0.26 (0.05–0.47) 76.42 8 0.23 (-0.00–0.47) 55.65
Family-based 1 0.17 (-0.21–0.55) 0 4 1.24 (-0.06–2.54) 95.49
Parent training 1 0.17 (0.03–0.31) 0 4 0.31 (0.17–0.45) 0
Psychoeducation/skills 2 0.55 (0.13–0.98) 0 1 0.94 (0.34–1.54) 0
Psychotherapy 5 0.36 (0.15–0.57) 33.20
Multiple intervention 2 -0.05 (-0.50–0.40) 0 12 0.35 (0.07–0.62) 66.25
Other 1 -0.27 (-0.69–0.16) 0 12.75 (df = 7) 9.62 (df = 5)
    Format
Group or mixed 21 0.25 (0.11–0.40) 68.13 21 0.35 (0.19–0.51) 62.17
Individual 9 0.15 (0.01–0.29) 33.25 1.07 (df = 1) 22 0.67 (0.35–0.99) 87.29 3.18 (df = 1)
    Intensity
Low 15 0.15 (-0.01–0.31) 58.16 14 0.27 (0.17–0.37) 0
Moderate 12 0.28 (0.09–0.46) 65.66 26 0.71 (0.41–1.01) 87.17
High 3 0.26 (-0.04–0.55) 67.92 1.13 (df = 2) 3 0.26 (-0.45–0.97) 79.77 7.66 (df = 2)*
    Manualisation
Manualised 25 0.20 (0.08–0.32) 61.57 39 0.46 (0.30–0.63) 78.92
Not manualized 5 0.26 (-0.03–0.56) 62.37 0.16 (df = 1) 4 1.11 (0.05–2.16) 93.11 1.39 (df = 1)
    Fidelity Check
Absent 10 0.42 (0.14–0.71) 72.28 13 0.65 (0.36–0.94) 77.99
Present 20 0.14 (0.04–0.25) 47.97 3.30 (df = 1) 30 0.45 (0.24–0.67) 82.66 1.16 (df = 1)
Design and setting
    Control type
Active 8 0.11 (-0.04–0.26) 22.40 23 0.39 (0.22–0.56) 59.93
Attentional 8 0.35 (0.08–0.63) 74.46 6 1.03 (0.06–2.02) 95.45
TAU 10 0.22 (0.01–0.42) 72.34 3 0.31 (0.11–0.50) 12.32
Waitlist/no treatment 4 0.22 (0.01–0.43) 8.64 2.50 (df = 3) 11 0.55 (0.21–0.90) 81.68 3.14 (df = 3)
    Setting
Clinic 9 0.21 (0.05–0.37) 47.53 23 0.54 (0.24–0.84) 84.85
Community 4 0.02 (-0.19–0.23) 43.43 8 0.63 (0.27–0.98) 83.78
School 16 0.32 (0.12–0.51) 71.39 4.28 (df = 2) 10 0.40 (0.12–0.68) 71.90 2.28 (df = 2)
    Agent
Professional 19 0.21 (0.09–0.34) 53.78 34 0.44 (0.26–0.62) 80.68
Paraprofessional 11 0.22 (0.01–0.43) 71.67 0.01 (df = 1) 9 0.83 (0.36–1.30) 82.16 2.36 (df = 1)
    Date
1985–1999 4 0.46 (0.23–0.68) 7.23 5 0.66 (0.01–1.31) 77.89
2000–2009 5 0.22 (-0.21–0.64) 81.66 16 0.95 (0.48–1.42) 89.13
2010–2018 21 0.17 (0.06–0.28) 52.63 5.03 (df = 2) 22 0.23 (0.12–0.34) 28.76 10.04 (df = 2)**

The outcome at follow-up for substance abuse interventions appears promising as there is no observed decline in ES (g = 0.19, 95% CI 0.01–0.38 at end of intervention and g = 0.26, 95% CI 0.15–0.36 at follow up). In substance misuse disorders; family-based interventions (g = 0.53, 95% CI 0.06–1.00) appear to be most effective and effects also appear somewhat stronger for those of moderate intensity (g = 0.53 95% CI 0.25–0.82) and those delivered by professionals (g = 0.32 95% CI 0.18–0.46).

Interventions for anxiety disorders hold up well from end of treatment (g = 0.61 95% CI 0.34–0.89) to follow-up (g = 0.51 95% CI 0.34–0.68) (Table 4). At follow-up individual CBT/BT (g = 0.67 95% CI 0.30–1.05) appears to be associated with larger effects. Moderate intensity interventions (g = 0.71 95% CI 0.41–1.01) appear more effective than interventions of low or high intensity. Effects for interventions delivered by paraprofessionals (g = 0.83 95% CI 0.36–1.30) had a greater but not significant than those delivered by professionals (g = 0.44, 95% CI 0.26–0.62).

For depressive disorders ESs declined post intervention (g = 0.38 95% CI 0.24–0.53) to follow-up (g = 0.21 95% CI 0.10–0.32) but a clinically important effect was still present. With regard to setting, interventions provided in schools (g = 0.32, 95% CI 0.12–0.51) and clinic settings (g = 0.21, 95%CI 0.05–0.37) may be more effective than community settings (g = 0.02, 95%CI -0.19–0.23).

No sub-group analyses were performed for eating disorders or PTSD due to limited study numbers.

Publication bias

The funnel plot for all disorders at follow-up showed evidence of considerable asymmetry indicating publication bias (see Fig 3), which was confirmed by an Egger’s test of bias [23] (1.65, p < .001, 95% CI [0.99, 2.30]). It should be noted that the considerable heterogeneity in our analyses may also be a major contributing factor to the asymmetry [24]. When we produced funnel plots for each disorder separately, the asymmetry was less pronounced (Egger’s range: 0.34–1.57, all p > .05), with the exception of anxiety (2.74, 95%CI 0.99–4.50, p = 0.003) and depressive disorders (1.40, 95%CI -0.06–2.86, p = 0.060;). Correction for this bias using the trim-and-fill method did not alter the estimates.

Fig 3. Funnel plots.

Fig 3

Discussion

This is the first meta-analysis to examine the long-term outcomes of psychosocial interventions for children and young people across most common mental health disorders. The meta-analysis included 138 studies representing 165 comparisons with 12-month follow-up continuous data on psychological interventions. The benefits we identified were typically obtained against standard care or other active treatments and therefore represent additional benefits over that gained from no care, which remains the experience of many children and young people with common mental disorders [25].

Notwithstanding the variability in ES, the heterogeneity in outcomes and the limited number of studies, a broadly consistent picture emerged of sustained, longer-term, and generally small to medium-size benefits against active control interventions. Younger children (under 12) may obtain greater benefit than older children at follow up. There is some indication that interventions delivered by paraprofessionals may be more effective in anxiety disorders equivalent for depression but less effective than those delivered by professionals for conduct disorder and substance misuse. Paraprofessional effectiveness is likely to be enhanced when training programmes are focused on specific interventions, targeted on less severe disorders and supported by appropriate training, continuing supervision and outcome monitoring [26]. Parent training for conduct disorders and family-based interventions for substance misuse appeared effective. There was some evidence to suggest that both family and parenting interventions might be effective in depression and anxiety disorders; given the preponderance of CBT interventions for these disorders consideration should be given to further research and development of these interventions for children and young people with depression and anxiety disorders. Group-based approaches may be effective for depressive and anxiety disorders but may be contra-indicated for conduct disorders. Moderate intensity of intervention appears to be associated with larger effects across all disorders. This resonates with Mulley and colleagues’ view that more care does not necessarily mean better care [27]. Like previous investigations [11], we found that in the school setting indicated interventions appeared as effective as other settings across all disorders. Unlike Brunwasser and colleagues [28] we found no evidence to suggest there may be consistent differences between programmes delivered in schools and those delivered in other settings. The lack of relationship between intervention fidelity to predefined protocols and outcome may be due to the fact that such measures are common to more recent studies, which also have lower ESs associated with improved design. It should also be noted that over 80% of studies included a supervision component which is seen as an essential part of effective psychological practice [29].

This review’s positive picture of long-term benefits is supported by Kodal and colleagues’ recent cohort studies [30] which assessed young men with a range of anxiety disorders for a mean of 3.9 years post treatment and demonstrated maintenance of treatment effects. Some of our included studies reported outcomes beyond 12 months, suggesting that effects were maintained beyond this point, but there were too few to incorporate in the meta-analysis and the likely increased use of intercurrent treatments beyond 12 months complicates both the design and interpretation of long-term follow up studies. Here there is a contrast with psychological and pharmacological interventions for a number of adult disorders, where the effectiveness of treatments across a range of disorders (e.g. depression [31]) show a relapsing and remitting course which is evident at 12-month follow-up.

This review suggests that a modest, persistent effect likely reflects meaningful improvements at population level in ameliorating and preventing the onset of disorders in young people and adults. Meta-analytic studies of prevention programmes support this view [32]. Whilst we know of no other studies that explore the long-term outcome of selective or indicated interventions, the ESs observed are broadly comparable to those in similar reviews focused on short-term outcomes for depression and anxiety [11, 3234]. This review reinforces the importance of providing effective interventions for children and young people; doing so offers potential long-term benefits which may reduce the burden of mental disorders in adulthood and better enable children and young people in their educational and social worlds which are important in ensuring better mental and physical health. The potential long-term benefits identified by this review provided support for a major national initiative to increase the availability of psychological interventions for children and young people in the English National Health Service (15).

The review has a number of limitations. The high level of heterogeneity in most analyses is a limitation that reflects variability in populations and methods that our exploration of intervention parameters did not capture. It may also reflect some studies’ use of less robust diagnostic measures and inclusion of participants with comorbid disorders. These factors, along with the moderate to high risk of bias characterizing most studies and the evidence of potential publication bias, mandate caution in interpreting the results and greater rigour in the design and reporting of future studies. Baseline severity could not be established due to the wide range of measures and in some cases lack of standardization and again limits the interpretation of these studies. The exclusion of drug interventions led to the exclusion of ADHD and studies for other diagnostic groups which only included drugs as the active comparator. The limitation of studies to those from OECD countries warrants some caution in the interpretation of the results particularly those concerning service delivery systems which might be differently configured in low- and middle-income countries.

Our analyses identify a number of important findings which could be the focus of further research. These include that the interventions could be provided in varying settings, including schools, and that interventions for anxiety and depression may be delivered by professionals or paraprofessionals without diminishing the magnitude of effect, although this may not hold true for substance use and conduct disorders. Importantly, our review suggests that younger children may obtain a greater benefit and that effective parent and family involvement is an important component of effective care. However, it should be noted that these interventions have been provided in the context of protocol-driven and well-supported and supervised care. These are essential aspects of any future research or implementation programme. We did not review any health economic outcomes but further research, and in particular any implementation studies, should consider cost-effectiveness. The absence of sufficient long-term data on self-harm is of particular concern given the high prevalence of this problem in young people, high-quality studies with long-term outcomes are urgently needed. The findings of our review suggests interventions should be provided early, under 12 if possible. It is also important to follow a well-described manual as was the case for most of the studies in this review. As almost all of the studies included supervision of implementers, ensuring effective support and supervision for the interventions may be necessary to achieve the outcomes observed. Future research across all disorders should report long-term outcomes (at least 1 year), including for self-harm and suicide prevention, and given that the effectiveness at end of treatment and follow-up has been established the use of waitlist controls should be discouraged.

Few, if any, systems with these characteristics commonly exist in routine practice and none have been robustly tested. Establishing new models of care and testing these models in large-scale implementation studies would be an important first step.

Supporting information

S1 Checklist. PRISMA 2009 checklist.

(DOC)

S1 File. Search strategies.

(DOCX)

S2 File. Extraction and data analysis guidelines.

(DOCX)

S3 File. Data.

(PDF)

S4 File. List of reports of studies included in the review.

(DOCX)

S1 Table. Observed frequencies for each study variable by disorder and associated chi-squared tests.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Risk of bias for studies included in the meta-analysis.

(DOCX)

S3 Table

a. Subgroup analysis at end of intervention for conduct and substance disorders. b. Subgroup analysis at end of intervention for depressive and anxiety disorders.

(DOCX)

S1 Fig. Random effects funnel plot for each diagnostic group.

(DOCX)

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files

Funding Statement

SP was supported by funding from the Royal College of Psychiatrists (RCPsych), Higher Education Funding Council for England (HEFCE) and the UCLH Biomedical Research Centre; PF by NHSE, HEFCE, CLARHC and NIHR; TK by RCPsych and NHSE; HM, PB by RCPsych; EA, CC, MC, TG, NL, SS, AR, AT, TV and KW by PF’s NIHR Senior Investigator Award and grant number 510388 from AFNCCF.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

S1 Checklist. PRISMA 2009 checklist.

(DOC)

S1 File. Search strategies.

(DOCX)

S2 File. Extraction and data analysis guidelines.

(DOCX)

S3 File. Data.

(PDF)

S4 File. List of reports of studies included in the review.

(DOCX)

S1 Table. Observed frequencies for each study variable by disorder and associated chi-squared tests.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Risk of bias for studies included in the meta-analysis.

(DOCX)

S3 Table

a. Subgroup analysis at end of intervention for conduct and substance disorders. b. Subgroup analysis at end of intervention for depressive and anxiety disorders.

(DOCX)

S1 Fig. Random effects funnel plot for each diagnostic group.

(DOCX)

Data Availability Statement

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files


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