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. 2020 Nov 17;33(3):e172–e179. doi: 10.1016/j.clon.2020.10.021

Table 4.

Clinical scenarios to illustrate balance of survival benefit from cancer and increased risk of death from COVID-19 with chemotherapy

Tumour Site Clinical decision tool/evidence Case history Treatments and benefit Risk–benefit analysis
Breast NHS PREDICT (breast cancer) 71-year-old post-menopausal woman with a symptomatic pT3 (60 mm) N0 M0 ER+ HER2- G3 IDC who has a WLE + SLNB. Survival at 10 years:
Surgery only = 45%
+ hormone therapy = 54%
+ chemotherapy = 54%
+ bisphosphonates = 63%
There is a 4.8% benefit at 10 years with adjuvant FEC (second generation) chemotherapy.
This compares with the increased risk of death if she acquires COVID-19 of 2.4%
Lung LACE Meta-analysis 68-year-old male with resected stage IIIA NSCLC, EGFR wild-type; PDL1 <1% Survival at 5 years:
Surgery only = 43.4%
+ chemotherapy = 48.8%
There is a 5.4% survival benefit at 5 years with cisplatin-based chemotherapy.
This compares with the increased risk of death if he acquires COVID-19 of 1.2%
Brain Stupp 2009 63-year-old male with WHO grade IV resected, MGMT methylated glioblastoma multiforme Survival at 5 years:
Surgery and radiotherapy = 0%
+ chemotherapy = 11%
There is an 11% survival benefit at 5 years with concurrent and adjuvant temozolamide
This compares with the increased risk of death if he acquires COVID-19 of 0.3%

IDC: Invasive Ductal Carcinoma; WLE: Wide local excision; SLNB: Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy; NSCLC: Non-small cell lung cancer; EGFR: Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor; PDL-1: Programmed Death Ligand-1; MGMT: Methyl-guanine-methly-transferase.