xi
|
Random number |
t |
The number of days into the simulation; t=1 for the day of the first infection |
trecovery
|
The average number of days for recovery (trecovery=28) |
tincubation = tinc.
|
The average number of days before an infection is seen (tincubation=6) |
tmax
|
The number of days over which the simulation is run |
St
|
The number of susceptible individuals on day t |
It
|
The number of infected (once) individuals on day t |
Rt
|
The number of recovered (once) individuals on day t |
I’t
|
The number of infected (2 or more times) individuals on day t |
R’t
|
The number of recovered (2 or more times) individuals on day t |
Dt
|
The number of deceased individuals from SARS-CoV-2 on day t |
Βt
|
The infection rate on day t |
γ |
The recovery rate on day t |
mt
|
The death rate on day t |
N |
The total population in the model; N = St + It + Rt + I’t + R’t + Dt ∀ t |
Ntinfected
|
The number of infected individuals on day t; Ntinfected = It + I’t
|
Ntuninfected
|
The number of uninfected individuals on day t; Ntuninfected = St + Rt + R’t
|
ntinfected
|
The number of new infections on day t; ntinfected = βtSt–tincubation(It–tincubation + I’t–tincubation) + βtRt–tincubation(It–tincubation + I’t–tincubation) + βtR’t–tincubation(It–tincubation + I’t–tincubation) |
ntrecovered
|
The number of recovering individuals on day t; ntrecovered = γtIt–trecovery + γtI’t–trecovery
|
ntdeaths
|
The number of deaths on day t; ntdeaths = mtIt–1 + mtI’t–1
|
itfirst time
|
The number of first-time infections on day t (ie, the number of St → It transitions on day t) |