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. 2020 Nov 18;156(1):e205152. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2020.5152

Table 2. Multivariable Logistic Regression Models Evaluating the Association Between Frailty and Mortality Stratified by Specialtya.

Specialty Model aOR (95% CI)
NSQIP, 30-d mortality VASQIP, 30-d mortality VASQIP, 180-d mortality
General RAI robust 0.17 (0.16-0.18) 0.33 (0.28-0.40) 0.31 (0.28-0.34)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 3.41 (3.29-3.55) 4.15 (3.67-4.71) 4.32 (4.02-4.65)
RAI very frail 10.3 (9.77-10.86) 15.48 (13.63-17.59) 15.86 (14.53-17.31)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 3.91 (3.71-4.12) 4.32 (3.72-5.02) 2.82 (2.62-3.05)
OSS 4-5 6.42 (6.07-6.79) 5.76 (4.89-6.78) 3.8 (3.47-4.15)
Emergency 5.6 (5.42-5.78) 3.6 (3.27-3.98) 2.61 (2.44-2.80)
Gynecologyb RAI robust 0.07 (0.05-0.10)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 3.8 (2.47-5.86)
RAI very frail 18.29 (9.92-33.74)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 1.63 (1.06-2.50) 0.98 (0.06-16.06) 0.96 (0.19-4.78)
OSS 4-5 4.72 (2.55-8.73)
Emergency 4.25 (2.36-7.66) 185.6 (11.26-3058.58) 37.08 (4.17-329.93)
Neurosurgery RAI robust 0.36 (0.30-0.43) 0.29 (0.16-0.49) 0.34 (0.26-0.43)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 4.18 (3.58-4.89) 5.22 (3.43-7.96) 6.82 (5.53-8.39)
RAI very frail 9.8 (7.68-12.50) 32.1 (20.95-49.16) 30.54 (23.34-39.97)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 4.46 (3.59-5.52) 1.28 (0.88-1.86) 1.93 (1.58-2.35)
OSS 4-5 18.21 (13.77-24.09) 2.48 (1.37-4.51) 1.86 (1.23-2.80)
Emergency 3.73 (3.11-4.47) 1.58 (1.01-2.48) 1.12 (0.83-1.51)
Orthopedicb RAI robust 0.2 (0.17-0.23) 0.27 (0.20-0.38) 0.31 (0.27-0.36)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 7.12 (6.49-7.82) 8.84 (7.12-11.00) 9.06 (8.05-10.20)
RAI very frail 20.31 (17.79-23.18) 33.94 (27.12-42.46) 36.8 (32.18-42.07)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 3.41 (3.05-3.81) 2.28 (1.89-2.75) 2.35 (2.12-2.61)
OSS 4-5 39.66 (10.54-149.19)
Emergency 2.46 (2.23-2.71) 1.79 (1.44-2.23) 1.7 (1.46-1.97)
ENT RAI robust 0.21 (0.12-0.34) 0.3 (0.12-0.74) 0.38 (0.28-0.52)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 3.83 (2.37-6.21) 5.3 (2.89-9.69) 3.33 (2.58-4.30)
RAI very frail 15.74 (8.35-29.68) 7.81 (3.44-17.73) 6.27 (4.33-9.07)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 2.36 (1.51-3.68) 2.82 (1.58-5.02) 2.95 (2.31-3.76)
OSS 4-5 5.15 (2.92-9.09) 3.04 (1.42-6.51) 5.38 (4.03-7.17)
Emergency 7.89 (3.94-15.83) 4.25 (1.79-10.05) 3.62 (2.27-5.77)
Plastic RAI robust 0.09 (0.05-0.16) 0.52 (0.16-1.63) 0.36 (0.20-0.64)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 5.1 (3.03-8.58) 3.68 (1.21-11.21) 7.13 (4.35-11.69)
RAI very frail 27.99 (14.67-53.39) 14.15 (4.19-47.77) 24.77 (13.38-45.88)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 1.53 (0.96-2.42) 2.53 (1.01-6.29) 1.46 (0.94-2.27)
OSS 4-5 24.94 (6.13-101.45) 9.02 (1.02-79.89) 6.58 (1.56-27.77)
Emergency 7.44 (4.10-13.51) 3.33 (0.93-11.91) 0.91 (0.35-2.41)
Thoracic RAI robust 0.3 (0.23-0.37) 0.5 (0.33-0.75) 0.54 (0.44-0.65)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 2.05 (1.71-2.45) 2.87 (2.14-3.84) 2.88 (2.45-3.38)
RAI very frail 9.98 (7.63-13.05) 9.48 (6.96-12.92) 6.42 (5.19-7.93)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 1.35 (1.00-1.81) 1.48 (1.00-2.20) 0.8 (0.66-0.97)
OSS 4-5 1.36 (1.03-1.80) 1.36 (0.96-1.93) 0.65 (0.44-0.76)
Emergency 3.65 (2.79-4.79) 1.4 (0.93-2.10) 1.16 (0.87-1.55)
Urology RAI robust 0.33 (0.25-0.43) 0.36 (0.23-0.56) 0.39 (0.33-0.47)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 6.14 (5.20-7.24) 4.35 (3.33-5.70) 5.01 (4.50-5.58)
RAI very frail 27.41 (21.56-34.85) 30.47 (22.56-41.15) 23.07 (19.52-27.27)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 0.95 (0.78-1.15) 1.53 (1.09-2.15) 0.8 (0.66-0.96)
OSS 4-5 2.63 (2.21-3.13) 3.13 (2.34-4.18) 1.51 (1.31-1.76)
Emergency 4.28 (3.27-5.60) 6.46 (4.43-9.42) 3.41 (2.65-4.40)
Vascular RAI robust 0.41 (0.37-0.45) 0.52 (0.38-0.71) 0.5 (0.42-0.59)
RAI normal 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
RAI frail 3.42 (3.19-3.67) 4.23 (3.51-5.10) 4.2 (3.79-4.65)
RAI very frail 10.85 (9.83-11.96) 12.66 (10.31-15.55) 12.76 (11.25-14.48)
OSS 1-2 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
OSS 3 1.18 (1.10-1.26) 1.3 (1.07-1.57) 1.06 (0.95-1.17)
OSS 4-5 3.25 (2.91-3.64) 3.46 (2.59-4.63) 1.45 (1.19-1.78)
Emergency 5.83 (5.46-6.23) 3.35 (2.78-4.04) 2.33 (2.05-2.64)

Abbreviations: aOR, adjusted odds ratio; ENT, ear, nose, and throat; NSQIP, National Surgical Quality Improvement Program; OSS, Operative Stress Score; RAI, Risk Analysis Index; VASQIP, Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program.

a

Frailty was measured with the RAI, which uses 14 variables from the registry data set to generate scores ranging from 0 to 81, with higher scores indicating more frailty. There are 4 levels: robust (≤20), normal (21-29), frail (30-39), and very frail (≥40); the reference group is normal. The OSS categories are 1 to 2 (low stress), 3 (moderate stress), and 4 to 5 (high stress); reference group is OSS 1 to 2. Emergency was categorized as yes or no and emergent or nonemergent; reference group was nonemergent.

b

Empty cells indicate that the factors could not be estimated in the model.