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. 2020 Nov 21;9(1):100495. doi: 10.1016/j.hjdsi.2020.100495

Table 1.

Association of race/ethnicity, demographic, economic, and occupational factors with COVID-19 case rates across U.S. Counties.

County Characteristics Increases in cases per 100,000 people
Univariate
Analyses
Multivariable
Analyses
Estimate 95% CI P-value Estimate 95% CI P-value
Proportion of Black non-Latino Population 324.7 298.0 to 351.4 <0.001 278.1 252.2 to 303.9 <0.001
Proportion of Latino Population 293.5 274.8 to 312.2 <0.001 23.8 -13.5 to 61.2 0.21
Proportion of Other Non-Latino Population -81.0 -125.7 to -36.2 <0.001 -268.9 -310.5 to -227.3 <0.001
City/town population size 1.3 1.1 to 1.5 <0.001 -0.5 -0.6 to -0.3 <0.001
Age, Proportion age >60 years -600.3 -673.8 to -526.9 <0.001 155.8 84.1 to 227.6 <0.001
Average Household size (per 1 person increase) 1559.5 1433.9 to 1685.1 <0.001 1117.3 934.4 to 1300.2 <0.001
Proportion with < HS education 990.8 933.2 to 1048.5 <0.001 208.8 106.5 to 311.1 <0.001
Median income -108.6 -129.4 to -87.7 <0.001 -112.7 -143.1 to -82.2 <0.001
Proportion of essential workers 138.0 89.6 to 186.3 <0.001 -102.9 -176.8 to -29.1 0.01
Proportion of foreign-born non-citizens 903.4 843.4 to 963.4 <0.001 803.7 682.8 to 924.6 <0.001
Proportion of workers that commute using public transportation 185.8 150.0 to 221.6 <0.001 3.8 -28.9 to 36.5 0.82

For univariate and multivariate analyses.

-Changes in case rates reflect a per 10% point increase in the following variables: Proportion Black, Latino, Other non-Latino population, age over 60 years, people with less than a high school education, essential workers, foreign-born non-citizens, proportion of people who commute to work by public transportation.

-For county population size, changes in case rates reflect a per 10,000 people increase.

-For average household size, changes in case rates reflect a per 1 person increase.

-For median income, changes in case rates reflect a per $10,000 increase.