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. 2020 Nov 24;110(1):15–35. doi: 10.1007/s10994-020-05921-4

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Pictorial illustration of HGPCP. Left to right: The upper-layer GP f(·) models the contact rate βh(t) based on community mobility Mh(t). The compartmental model gives the deterministic trajectory of the five compartments based on βh(t). The lower layer GP uses the hospitalized compartment Hh(t) as prior and predicts the hospital admission