Table 4.
Crude incidence rates (per 10,000-person years) and estimated subHazard Ratios by Gray and Fine method (with adjustment for age and calendar year at time of radiotherapy) for IMRT versus the reference group 3DCRT.
| Subsite (ICD10 code) | IMRT | 3DCRT | Fine & Gray Model | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n with SPC | Incidence rate | n with SPC | Incidence rate | sHRs (95% CI) | p-value | |
| All solid (except skin) C00–C80 | 99 | 20.90 | 126 | 13.01 | 1.23 (0.88–1.76) | 0.220 |
| Solid SPC non-pelvis | 74 | 15.62 | 85 | 12.27 | 1.56 (1.03–2.36) | 0.034 |
| Age at RT | ||||||
| 50–69 years | 37 | 18.93 | 29 | 8.49 | 3.27 (1.65–6.46) | 0.001 |
| 70–79 years | 37 | 13.29 | 56 | 15.96 | 0.96 (0.59–1.59) | 0.887 |
| Smoking Status at RT | ||||||
| Never smoker | 17 | 10.79 | 24 | 10.47 | 0.80 (0.32–1.98) | 0.631 |
| Past smoker | 21 | 20.66 | 30 | 19.60 | 0.94 (0.43–2.06) | 0.875 |
| Active smoker | 25 | 33.33 | 15 | 12.94 | 2.94 (1.28–6.76) | 0.011 |
| Not reported | 11 | 7.88 | 16 | 8.22 | 1.20 (0.42–3.40) | 0.734 |
| SPC within anatomical regions | ||||||
| Chest | 30 | 6.33 | 36 | 5.20 | 1.21 (0.65–2.26) | 0.548 |
| Abdomen | 26 | 5.48 | 42 | 6.06 | 1.13 (0.59–2.16) | 0.719 |
| Pelvis | 27 | 5.70 | 40 | 5.77 | 0.79 (0.41–1.47) | 0.437 |
| SPC by tumor site | ||||||
| Urinary tract total | 23 | 4.85 | 37 | 5.34 | 0.72 (0.35–1.49) | 0.380 |
| Bladder, urethra | 17 | 3.59 | 29 | 4.19 | 0.56 (0.27–1.18) | 0.128 |
| Kidney, renal pelvis, ureter | 8 | 1.69 | 6 | 0.87 | 3.90 (0.64–23.80) | 0.140 |
| Gastrointestinal total | 34 | 7.18 | 53 | 7.65 | 1.07 (0.62–1.86) | 0.802 |
| Rectum, rectosigmoid | 10 | 2.11 | 9 | 1.30 | 2.41 (0.76–7.64) | 0.135 |
| Colon | 10 | 2.11 | 17 | 2.45 | 0.82 (0.31–2.15) | 0.688 |
| Oesophagus & Stomach | 9 | 1.90 | 13 | 1.88 | 1.30 (0.41–4.19) | 0.655 |
| Pancreas, liver, biliary tract | 6 | 1.27 | 14 | 2.02 | 0.57 (0.20–1.61) | 0.287 |
| Lung & Bronchus | 21 | 4.43 | 24 | 3.46 | 1.19 (0.57–2.48) | 0.636 |
| Soft tissue/sarcoma | 2 | 0.42 | 2 | 0.29 | 1.20 (0.05–31.84) | 0.914 |
Numbers reflect observed number of survivors experiencing the SPC event of interest. For SPC sub-sites, only the first SPC is taken into consideration. Grouping of regions and ICD10 codes is reflected in Supplementary File 2.
Bold numbers represent significantly elevated SIRs (p < 0.05).