Table 3.

Probability of observing no events, at least one event or at least two events, for a range of hypothetical true event rates

True eventrate (%)	No. of participants	0 events	1+ events	2+ events
1	4	0.96	0.04	<0.01
	8	0.92	0.08	<0.01
	12	0.89	0.11	0.01
	16	0.85	0.15	0.01
	24	0.79	0.21	0.02
	56	0.57	0.43	0.11
5	4	0.81	0.19	0.01
	8	0.66	0.34	0.06
	12	0.54	0.46	0.12
	16	0.44	0.56	0.19
	24	0.29	0.71	0.34
	56	0.06	0.94	0.78
10	4	0.66	0.34	0.05
	8	0.43	0.57	0.19
	12	0.28	0.72	0.34
	16	0.19	0.81	0.49
	24	0.08	0.92	0.71
	56	<0.01	>0.99	0.98
20	4	0.41	0.59	0.18
	8	0.17	0.83	0.50
	12	0.07	0.93	0.73
	16	0.03	0.97	0.86
	24	<0.01	>0.99	>0.99
	56	<0.01	>0.99	>0.99
30	4	0.24	0.76	0.35
	8	0.06	0.94	0.74
	12	0.01	0.99	0.91
	16	<0.01	>0.99	0.97
	24	<0.01	>0.99	>0.99
	56	<0.01	>0.99	>0.99