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. 2020 Nov 28;18(11):e06312. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2020.6312

Table 1.

Approximate probability scale (see EFSA, 2019, Table 4)

Probability term Subjective probability range Additional options
Almost certain 99–100% More likely than not: > 50%

Unable to give any probability: range is 0–100%

Report as ‘inconclusive’ cannot conclude, or ‘unknown’

Extremely likely 95–99%
Very likely 90–95%
Likely 66–90%
About as likely as not 33–66%
Unlikely 10–33%
Very unlikely 5–10%
Extremely unlikely 1–5%
Almost impossible 0–1%