Table 1.

Summary of the listeriosis quantitative risk assessment model for consumption of cultured milk at domestic level: variables, equations or distribution of the input parameters and data sources.

Variable/Parameter	Description	Value/Equation	Distribution	Unit	Data Source
$C_o$	Initial concentration	${10}^3$ to ${10}^4$	Uniform	cfu/g	[22]
$T_{sl}$	Storage time	Minimum 0.5, and	Pert	Days	[22]
		Most likely: 6 to 10
		Maximum: 45
${\mu }_{maxSusce}$ ( ${\mu }_{maxTol}$)	Maximum growth rate for susceptible (tolerant) L. monocytogenes	Mean: 0.762 ± 0.047 (1.007 ± 0.047)	Normal	per hour	Calculated
Serving	Portion consumed	Mean: 236.75 ± 170	Log normal	gram	[22]
Hold	Increase during storage	${\mu }_{maxSusce}\ast T_{sl}+\left({\mu }_{maxTol}\right)\ast T_{sl}$		cfu/g	This study and [49] model for exponential growth phase
D	Ingested dose	Serving × ($C_o$+ Hold)		cfu/serving	Calculated
$r_h$	Dose–response parameter for healthy subpopulation	$2.37$ × ${10}^{-14}$		−	[51]
$r_s$	Dose–response parameter for susceptible subpopulation	$1.06$ × ${10}^{-12}$		−	[51]
$r_t$	Dose–response parameter for healthy subpopulation	$5.8$ × ${10}^{-10}$		−	[51]
$P_{illH}$	Probability of illness for healthy subpopulation	$1-$exp${}^{(-r_h*D)}$	Exponential	−	Exponential dose–response model [51]
$P_{illS}$	Probability of illness for susceptible subpopulation	$1-$exp${}^{(-r_s*D)}$	Exponential	−	Exponential dose–response model [51]
$P_{illT}$	Probability of illness for transplant subpopulation	$1-$exp${}^{(-r_t*D)}$	Exponential	−	Exponential dose–response model [51]
$N_{illH}$	Number illness per million servings for healthy subpopulation	$B(1000000,P_{illH})$	Binomial	−	Calculated
$N_{illS}$	Number illness per million servings in susceptible subpopulation	$B(1000000,P_{illS}$	Binomial	−	Calculated
$N_{illT}$	Number illness per million servings for transplant subpopulation	$B(1000000,P_{illT})$	Binomial	−	Calculated