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. 2020 Nov 10;17(22):8302. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17228302

Table 1.

Time series analysis Interrupted autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models for influenza epidemic, COVID-19 epidemic, and lockdown periods.

Variables- Parameter SE t (150) p CI 95%
Daily visits to ED
Influenza epidemic period
Omega 160.8 51.7 3.1 0.002 58.5 263.0
Delta 0.98 0.006 176.4 <0.001 0.97 0.99
COVID-19 epidemic period
Omega 124.7 110.8 1.1 0.3 −94.3 343.7
Delta 0.6 0.3 1.9 0.06 −0.03 1.3
Lockdown period
Omega −160.2 23.8 −6.7 <0.001 <0.001 −113.1
Delta 1.0 0.005 210.6 <0.001 1.01 1.03
Daily through ED admissions to MSW
Influenza epidemic period
Omega 6.2 5.4 1.1 0.2 −4.4 16.8
Delta 1.0 0.006 177.6 <0.001 0.99 1.02
COVID-19 epidemic period
Omega −31.7 15.4 −2.1 0.04 1.2 62.2
Delta 0.5 0.3 2.0 0.05 −1.1 −0.007
Lockdown period
Omega −14.6 7.6 1.9 0.05 −0.4 29.6
Delta 1.0 0.02 48.2 <0.001 0.9 1.0
Daily through ED admissions to ICU
Influenza epidemic period
Omega 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.4 −0.8 2.1
Delta −1.0 0.02 −39.7 <0.001 −1.0 −0.9
COVID-19 epidemic period
Omega 13.9 2.1 1.8 0.05 −0.3 8.1
Delta 0.8 0.1 −7.5 <0.001 −1.0 −0.6
Lockdown period
Omega −13.2 2.3 5.3 <0.001 8.78 17.7
Delta 0.9 0.01 79.52 <0.001 0.9 1.0

Legend: ED, emergency department; ICU, intensive care unit; MSW, medical/surgical wards.