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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2020 Jun 10;35:100341. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2020.100341

Table 2.

Results of simulation study comparing 3 different models: Binomial mixture (BM), independent ascertainment (IA), and spatial ascertainment (SA). For predictions at locations without both S1 and S2 data, Pois-NA assumes no surveillance data and Pois-S1 assumes only S1 data. Root mean square errors (RMSE), 95% empirical coverage probabilities (CVG) and averaged posterior standard deviation (SD) are reported.

Location Measure BM IA model SA model
Pois-NA Pois-S1 Pois-NA Pois-S1
S1-S2 RMSE 1.55 1.53 1.52
linked CVG 0.95 0.99 0.99
sites SD 1.51 1.49 1.49
S1-only RMSE 7.95 10.84 7.91 8.34 6.46
sites CVG 1.00 0.70 0.75 0.84 0.87
SD 14.45 4.64 3.98 5.26 4.29
Total RMSE 39.90 56.06 43.35 41.78 34.95
sites CVG 1.0 0.92 0.81 0.99 0.92
SD 65.99 56.06 28.73 53.66 31.05