Table 5.

Results of projections of confirmed cases of Covid-19 between May 6 and 11, 2020 for the states of the Midwest Region of Brazil and the Distrito Federal.

State	Date	Forecasted value	Lower limit	Upper limit	Actual cases	Absolute percentage error*	Absolute percentage error**	MAPE
Distrito Federal	2020-05-06	1,910	1,868	1,951	2,046	6.66	4.63	14.81
	2020-05-07	1,982	1,914	2,051	2,258	12.21	9.17
	2020-05-08	2,055	1,959	2,151	2,442	15.85	11.90
	2020-05-09	2,128	2,002	2,253	2,576	17.40	12.52
	2020-05-10	2,200	2,044	2,357	2,682	17.96	12.11
	2020-05-11	2,273	2,083	2,463	2,799	18.79	12.01
Goias	2020-05-06	958	931	986	1,024	6.43	3.76	1.77
	2020-05-07	994	951	1,038	1,027	3.18	–
	2020-05-08	1,031	971	1,090	1,053	2.13	–
	2020-05-09	1,067	991	1,143	1,069	0.21	–
	2020-05-10	1,103	1,010	1,196	1,093	0.91	–
	2020-05-11	1,139	1,028	1,250	1,100	3.56	–
Mato Grosso do Sul	2020-05-06	290	280	300	288	0.62	–	8.68
	2020-05-07	297	282	311	311	4.64	–
	2020-05-08	303	284	323	326	6.95	1.00
	2020-05-09	310	286	334	346	10.37	3.50
	2020-05-10	317	289	345	362	12.46	4.69
	2020-05-11	324	291	356	385	15.93	–
Mato Grosso	2020-05-06	378	365	392	385	1.74	–	14.84
	2020-05-07	391	370	411	419	6.78	–
	2020-05-08	403	375	430	464	13.17	7.26
	2020-05-09	415	381	449	502	17.29	10.55
	2020-05-10	427	387	468	519	17.63	9.87
	2020-05-11	440	393	487	545	19.31	10.70

The * symbol is the error between the forecasted values and the current cases, while ** indicates the percentage error between the current value and one of the limits (lower or higher).