Table 7.

Results of projections of confirmed cases of Covid-19 between May 6 and 11, 2020 for the states of the South Region of Brazil.

State	Date	Forecasted cases	Lower limit	Upper limit	Actual cases	Absolute percentage error*	Absolute percentage error**	MAPE
Paraná	2020-05-06	1,643	1,606	1,680	1,647	0.26	–	1.50
	2020-05-07	1,682	1,616	1,748	1,678	0.23	–
	2020-05-08	1,721	1,629	1,813	1,734	0.75	–
	2020-05-09	1,760	1,642	1,879	1,809	2.70	–
	2020-05-10	1,799	1,654	1,944	1,859	3.21	–
	2020-05-11	1,838	1,666	2,011	1,873	1.85	–
Santa Catarina	2020-05-06	2,911	2,716	3,107	2,917	0.19	–	2.10
	2020-05-07	3,028	2,735	3,321	3,082	1.75	–
	2020-05-08	3,144	2,764	3,524	3,205	1.89	–
	2020-05-09	3,261	2,797	3,724	3,372	3.30	–
	2020-05-10	3,377	2,831	3,923	3,429	1.51	–
	2020-05-11	3,494	2,865	4,123	3,529	1.00	–
Rio Grande do Sul	2020-05-06	2,167	2,109	2,224	2,100	3.17	–	4.94
	2020-05-07	2,233	2,138	2,328	2,182	2.35	–
	2020-05-08	2,283	2,166	2,401	2,493	8.41	3.71
	2020-05-09	2,367	2,233	2,500	2,542	6.90	1.66
	2020-05-10	2,492	2,340	2,645	2,576	3.25	–
	2020-05-11	2,640	2,458	2,821	2,808	6.00	–

The * symbol is the error between the forecasted values and the current cases, while ** indicates the percentage error between the current value and one of the limits (lower or higher).