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. 2020 Nov 17;8:580815. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.580815

Table 8.

Result of the projections of the accumulated confirmed cases of Covid-19 for Brazil between May 6th to 11th, 2020.

State Date Forecasted value Lower limit Upper limit Actual cases Absolute percentage error* Absolute percentage error** MAPE
Brazil 2020-05-06 123,706 122,328 125,085 126,957 2.56 1.47 5.18
2020-05-07 131,001 128,154 133,747 136,689 4.16 2.15
2020-05-08 138,295 133,946 142,644 147,093 5.98 3.02
2020-05-09 145,589 139,424 151,755 155,329 6.27 2.30
2020-05-10 152,883 144,709 161,057 163,509 6.50 1.50
2020-05-11 160,178 149,819 170,537 169,733 5.63 0.47

The * symbol is the error between the forecasted values and the current cases, while ** indicates the percentage error between the current value and one of the limits (lower or higher).