Table 8.
Result of the projections of the accumulated confirmed cases of Covid-19 for Brazil between May 6th to 11th, 2020.
State | Date | Forecasted value | Lower limit | Upper limit | Actual cases | Absolute percentage error* | Absolute percentage error** | MAPE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brazil | 2020-05-06 | 123,706 | 122,328 | 125,085 | 126,957 | 2.56 | 1.47 | 5.18 |
2020-05-07 | 131,001 | 128,154 | 133,747 | 136,689 | 4.16 | 2.15 | ||
2020-05-08 | 138,295 | 133,946 | 142,644 | 147,093 | 5.98 | 3.02 | ||
2020-05-09 | 145,589 | 139,424 | 151,755 | 155,329 | 6.27 | 2.30 | ||
2020-05-10 | 152,883 | 144,709 | 161,057 | 163,509 | 6.50 | 1.50 | ||
2020-05-11 | 160,178 | 149,819 | 170,537 | 169,733 | 5.63 | 0.47 |
The * symbol is the error between the forecasted values and the current cases, while ** indicates the percentage error between the current value and one of the limits (lower or higher).