Table 3.
Prognostic model for LTD (n = 240, number of events = 38)
| At age of 5 years: S0 (5) | 94.6% (90.8%, 98.7%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| At age of 7 years: S0 (7) | 92.3% (86.9%, 97.9%) | ||
| At age of 10 years: S0 (10) | 86.1% (76.6%, 96.8%) | ||
| Variable | Log (HR) (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | P Value |
| TB (mg/dL), log2 | 0.70 (0.41, 1.00) | 2.02 (1.51, 2.72) | <.001 |
| History of ascites | 0.74 (0.03, 1.45) | 2.10 (1.03, 4.28) | 0.040 |
| History of cholangitis | 0.90 (0.20, 1.61) | 2.47 (1.22, 5.00) | 0.012 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | −1.11 (−1.84, −0.37) | 0.33 (0.16, 0.69) | 0.003 |
| Platelet count (per 10×103/µL) | −0.07 (−0.13, −0.01) | 0.93 (0.88, 0.99) | 0.014 |
Equation for calculating chance of LTD at age of t years:
1–S0(t)exp(0.7×log2[TB]+0.74×History of Ascites+0.9×History of Cholangitis–1.11×Albumin–0.007×Platelet Count+5.84).