Table 3.

Research scenarios.

COVID-19 parameters (based on estimates from the literature)	US Scenario 1	US Scenario 2	US Scenario 3	Estimate 1	Estimate 2
Susceptible population (R0 = {2.2, 2.0, 1.8})	276.4	263.2	240.2	160–210	–
Population with symptoms (50%,35%,20%)	138	92	48	–	–
Reported cases (11%–60%)	27.6	14	5.28
Hospitalization*	10	5.0	1.90	2.4–21	–
ICU cases	0.7	0.37	0.141	–
Fatality	0.41	0.21	0.079	0.2–1.7	0.026–0.155
CFR	1.50%	1.50%	1.50%
IFR	0.15%	0.08%	0.03%