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. 2020 Dec;26(12):2844–2853. doi: 10.3201/eid2612.202530

Table 1. Parameter assumptions used in a coronavirus disease transmission model, Australia.

Parameter Estimate or assumption Justification
Fundamental assumptions
Doubling time 6.4 d Estimated in from early case growth in Wuhan, China, from Wu et al. (11)
Incubation period
5.2 d
Based on Li et al. (12) and Lauer et al. (13)
Derived assumptions
R0 2.53 Based on latent and infectious periods, with doubling time 6.4 d (Appendix)
Latent (noninfectious) period 3.2 d Assumes 2 d of presymptomatic transmission before completion of incubation period, based on contribution estimates from Ganyani et al. (14) and Tindal et al. (15)
Infectious period 9.68 d Estimated, related to doubling time and incubation period (Appendix)