Table 2.
Parameters (β = regression coefficient; se = standard error, t = t-test; p = p-value) of the multiple regression analyses predicting COVID-19 cumulative incidence, case fatality rate and cumulative deaths in March 2020 among the Italian population aged ≥65 by region.
| Variables | Outcomes |
||
|---|---|---|---|
|
Cumulative incidence |
Cumulative death rate |
Case fatality rate |
|
| β se t p | β se t p | β se t p | |
| Constant | 10.94 13.67 0.80 0.437 | 114.0 26.36 4.33 0.0005 | 23.44 5.317 4.41 0.0004 |
| Deprivation index | −0.919 0.434–2.12 0.052 | −3.151 1.535–2.05 0.057 | −0.601 0.310–1.94 0.070 |
| Circulating vehicles (N/1000 residents) | 0.227 0.068 3.35 0.005 | – | – |
| Average march temperature | −0.641 0.561–1.14 0.272 | – | – |
| Population density | 0.024 0.007 3.45 0.004 | 0.057 0.026 2.16 0.046 | 0.013 0.006 1.89 0.075 |
| Vaccination rate | −0.265 0.128–2.06 0.058 | −1.322 0.469–2.82 0.012 | −0.245 0.094–2.59 0.020 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.723 | 0.410 | 0.401 |