Table 1. Features extracted for spatial analyses disaggregated by Iranian provinces to predict the spread of COVID-19 cases.
Abbreviations: GDP, Gross Domestic Product; TEI, Transportation Efficiency Index
| Province | Cases+ | Urban population (%)* | >60 years (%)* | Area (km2)* | Density* | Literacy (%)* | Average temperature (°C)* | Annual precipitation (mm)* | Physicians** | GDP** (2004) | Hospital beds** (2006) | Inflation* | TEI*** | Population**** (2020) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alborz | 906 | 92.639 | 8.914 | 5122 | 529.559 | 92.2 | 16.7 | 220.5 | 2632.5 | 12.577 | 15327.5 | 28 | 0.524 | 2952309.6 |
| Ardebil | 213 | 68.169 | 9.371 | 17800 | 71.372 | 83.1 | 10.9 | 296.5 | 354 | 1.127 | 1654 | 23.4 | 0.46 | 1287965.6 |
| Bushehr | 46 | 71.854 | 6.841 | 22743 | 51.154 | 89.2 | 26.5 | 272.5 | 429 | 3.227 | 1345 | 24.4 | 0.301 | 1267760.8 |
| Chahar Mahall and Bakhtiari | 58 | 64.092 | 8.691 | 16328 | 58.045 | 84.7 | 11.8 | 309.7 | 499 | 0.727 | 1234 | 22.7 | 0.754 | 989763 |
| East Azarbaijan | 571 | 71.859 | 10.732 | 45651 | 85.642 | 84.7 | 14 | 286.9 | 1104 | 3.927 | 5964 | 21 | 0.56 | 4057677.6 |
| Esfahan | 1538 | 88.019 | 10.643 | 107018 | 47.850 | 89.9 | 17.7 | 96.3 | 2109 | 6.527 | 8261 | 24.2 | 0.696 | 5314080.4 |
| Fars | 386 | 70.119 | 9.456 | 122608 | 39.567 | 88.8 | 18.9 | 271.5 | 1661 | 4.527 | 7154 | 22.3 | 0.591 | 5054966.8 |
| Gilan | 924 | 63.343 | 13.250 | 14042 | 180.223 | 87.3 | 17.3 | 1388.3 | 1211 | 2.327 | 3716 | 24 | 0.472 | 2570553.6 |
| Golestan | 351 | 53.275 | 7.796 | 20367 | 91.757 | 86.1 | 18.8 | 477.8 | 998 | 1.527 | 1769 | 25.4 | 0.372 | 1942263 |
| Hamadan | 155 | 63.123 | 10.801 | 19368 | 89.748 | 85 | 13.1 | 215.7 | 688 | 1.627 | 3089 | 22.9 | 0.429 | 1722206.8 |
| Hormozgan | 124 | 54.707 | 6.046 | 70697 | 25.127 | 87.8 | 27.8 | 152.2 | 492 | 2.227 | 1686 | 32.1 | 1 | 1935000.6 |
| Ilam | 120 | 68.130 | 8.508 | 20133 | 28.816 | 84.9 | 18 | 842.4 | 145 | 0.827 | 875 | 27.9 | 1 | 598205.2 |
| Kerman | 127 | 58.728 | 7.811 | 180726 | 17.511 | 81.5 | 17.2 | 109.8 | 955 | 2.527 | 3325 | 25.7 | 0.47 | 3345302 |
| Kermanshah | 152 | 75.220 | 10.023 | 25009 | 78.069 | 85.4 | 16.5 | 512.8 | 755 | 1.627 | 2922 | 22.6 | 0.536 | 1958199.6 |
| Khuzestan | 359 | 75.453 | 7.052 | 64055 | 73.539 | 86.3 | 27.3 | 269.7 | 1599 | 14.627 | 7511 | 22.3 | 0.95 | 4853540.2 |
| Kohgiluyeh and Buyer Ahmad | 45 | 55.741 | 7.139 | 15504 | 45.991 | 84.4 | 15.7 | 611.1 | 232 | 4.027 | 573 | 24.1 | 1 | 756590.4 |
| Kordestan | 189 | 70.756 | 9.304 | 29137 | 55.016 | 84.5 | 15.4 | 444.4 | 605 | 1.127 | 2155 | 18.8 | 0.818 | 1690503.8 |
| Lorestan | 363 | 64.460 | 8.830 | 28294 | 62.227 | 83 | 17.9 | 535.6 | 616 | 1.327 | 2153 | 26.7 | 0.963 | 1765773.8 |
| Markazi | 782 | 76.935 | 10.892 | 29127 | 49.077 | 87 | 15.1 | 284.8 | 514 | 2.327 | 1866 | 23.4 | 0.689 | 1441887.8 |
| Mazandaran | 1494 | 57.780 | 11.414 | 23842 | 137.723 | 88.7 | 18.6 | 724.7 | 1585 | 3.527 | 4475 | 25.9 | 0.269 | 3451293.2 |
| North Khorasan | 100 | 56.118 | 8.500 | 28434 | 30.354 | 83.3 | 14.8 | 227.4 | 288 | 0.727 | 730 | 24.7 | 0.533 | 859384 |
| Qazvin | 526 | 74.751 | 8.925 | 15567 | 81.824 | 88.6 | 15.7 | 313.7 | 429 | 1.427 | 1403 | 25.4 | 0.544 | 1331517.8 |
| Qom | 1074 | 95.178 | 7.696 | 11526 | 112.119 | 88.7 | 19.6 | 111.6 | 319 | 1.127 | 1493 | 24.6 | 1 | 1404771.8 |
| Razavi Khorasan | 661 | 73.058 | 8.478 | 118851 | 54.139 | 89.1 | 17.2 | 183.4 | 3328 | 5.027 | 9131 | 20.5 | 0.658 | 6786580.2 |
| Semnan | 577 | 79.803 | 9.978 | 97491 | 7.204 | 91.5 | 19.5 | 107.5 | 493 | 0.927 | 1269 | 22.7 | 0.868 | 759273.6 |
| Sistan and Baluchestan | 88 | 48.491 | 4.886 | 181785 | 15.265 | 76 | 19.8 | 103.7 | 657 | 1.127 | 2117 | 26.5 | 1 | 2967563.6 |
| South Khorasan | 100 | 59.023 | 9.757 | 95385 | 8.061 | 86.8 | 17.4 | 144.3 | 512 | 0.527 | 660 | 24.5 | 0.605 | 853989.2 |
| Tehran | 4260 | 93.854 | 10.443 | 13692 | 969.007 | 92.9 | 19.1 | 209.3 | 2632.5 | 12.577 | 15327.5 | 28 | 1 | 14135033.8 |
| West Azarbaijan | 300 | 65.423 | 8.562 | 37411 | 87.280 | 82 | 12.5 | 277.3 | 993 | 2.027 | 3630 | 23.3 | 0.644 | 3412933.4 |
| Yazd | 471 | 85.316 | 8.788 | 129285 | 8.806 | 90.9 | 21.3 | 38.4 | 610 | 1.227 | 2395 | 23.1 | 0.941 | 1189817 |
| Zanjan | 261 | 67.253 | 9.783 | 21773 | 48.568 | 84.8 | 14 | 283.1 | 492 | 1.027 | 1264 | 22.4 | 0.651 | 1090842.6 |
* Statistical Centre of Iran
** Iran data portal
*** Obtained from reference (12)
**** Population projected by using the population census 2011 and 2016 and an arithmetic method
+Cases obtained from John Hopkins Database (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html)