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. 2020 Dec 3;10:21040. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-77709-4

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© The Author(s) 2020

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Trajectories of a total case count and b total death count per million individuals on log scale. The time window spans the 67 days since at least 20 confirmed cases were reported. Smoothed mean curves are marked by bold black lines. The orange ribbons represent pointwise 95% bootstrap confidence bands for the overall mean functions.