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. 2020 Dec 3;10:21040. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-77709-4

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© The Author(s) 2020

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Forecasts of case counts for countries with early (top 8) and late (bottom 8) mobility reduction responses. The black curve represents the observed cumulative case counts, and the red piece-wise curves represent predictions for the 10 following days, made at 10, 20, 30, 40, and 50 days, respectively. The blue curve displays percent decrease in workplace mobility as measured by Google relative to a baseline index of mobility for a typical day before the onset of COVID-19 (“Methods”:“Data”). A day in which all mobility has stopped corresponds to −1 or a 100% reduction.