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. 2020 Dec 3;15(12):e0242930. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242930

Table 2. Deaths from coronary heart disease that were prevented or postponed as a result of changes in population risk factors in Mexico from 2000 to 2012.

Risk factor Risk factor level Risk factor change Deaths prevented or postponed
2000 2012 Absolute Relative Best estimate Minimun estimate Maximum estimate Best estimate Minimun estimate Maximum estimate
No. Deaths % of total change
SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE (mmHg)              
All 124.1 123.2 0.94 0.01 - 1,137.3 - 1,686.4 - 704.8 12.1% 7.5% 18.3%
Men 125.3 124.6 0.71 0.01 - 1,251.8 - 1,736.8 - 857.5 13.4% 9.2% 18.4%
Women 123.0 121.9 1.14 0.01 114.5 77.0 156.2 -1.2% -1.7% -0.8%
CHOLESTEROL (mmol/L)                
All 4.9 5.1 (0.19) (0.04) - 2,203.0 - 3,942.7 - 907.6 24% 10% 43%
Men 4.9 4.9 - - - - - 0% 0% 0%
Women 5.0 5.3 (0.35) (0.07) - 2,203.0 - 3,837.0 - 626.8 24% 7% 40%
BMI (Kg/ m2)                  
All 26.4 28.6 (2.24) (0.08) - 1,692.6 - 2,086.5 - 1,261.5 18% 13% 23%
Men 25.8 28.0 (2.23) (0.09) - 944.0 - 1,228.6 - 666.9 10% 7% 13%
Women 27.0 29.2 (2.24) (0.08) - 748.5 - 1,085.8 - 415.8 8% 4% 12%
SMOKING (%)                  
All 0.22 0.19 0.03 0.10 649.6 - 102.6 1,482.6 -7% -16% 1%
Men 0.35 0.30 0.04 0.13 532.6 9.0 988.0 -6% -10% 0%
Women 0.11 0.10 0.01 0.07 116.9 - 427.8 643.3 -1% -7% 5%
PHYSICAL INACTIVITY (%)                
All 0.11 0.18 (0.08) (0.75) - 2,609.1 - 3,129.3 - 2,045.2 28% 22% 33%
Men 0.10 0.19 (0.09) (0.95) - 1,500.5 - 1,852.7 - 1,140.9 16% 12% 20%
Women 0.11 0.18 (0.06) (0.58) - 1,108.7 - 1,473.2 - 637.1 12% 7% 16%
DIABETES (%)                  
All 0.06 0.09 (0.04) (0.58) - 4,041.6 - 4,842.9 - 3,247.6 43% 35% 51%
Men 0.05 0.09 (0.03) (0.48) - 1,681.1 - 1,270.1 - 2,301.8 18% 14% 25%
Women 0.06 0.10 (0.04) (0.67) - 2,360.5 - 1,761.5 - 2,976.0 25% 19% 32%
TOTAL RISK FACTORS       -11,034.1 - 12,796.9 - 9,605.7 118% 102% 138%