Table 2. Deaths from coronary heart disease that were prevented or postponed as a result of changes in population risk factors in Mexico from 2000 to 2012.
Risk factor | Risk factor level | Risk factor change | Deaths prevented or postponed | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 2012 | Absolute | Relative | Best estimate | Minimun estimate | Maximum estimate | Best estimate | Minimun estimate | Maximum estimate | |
No. Deaths | % of total change | |||||||||
SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE (mmHg) | ||||||||||
All | 124.1 | 123.2 | 0.94 | 0.01 | - 1,137.3 | - 1,686.4 | - 704.8 | 12.1% | 7.5% | 18.3% |
Men | 125.3 | 124.6 | 0.71 | 0.01 | - 1,251.8 | - 1,736.8 | - 857.5 | 13.4% | 9.2% | 18.4% |
Women | 123.0 | 121.9 | 1.14 | 0.01 | 114.5 | 77.0 | 156.2 | -1.2% | -1.7% | -0.8% |
CHOLESTEROL (mmol/L) | ||||||||||
All | 4.9 | 5.1 | (0.19) | (0.04) | - 2,203.0 | - 3,942.7 | - 907.6 | 24% | 10% | 43% |
Men | 4.9 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Women | 5.0 | 5.3 | (0.35) | (0.07) | - 2,203.0 | - 3,837.0 | - 626.8 | 24% | 7% | 40% |
BMI (Kg/ m2) | ||||||||||
All | 26.4 | 28.6 | (2.24) | (0.08) | - 1,692.6 | - 2,086.5 | - 1,261.5 | 18% | 13% | 23% |
Men | 25.8 | 28.0 | (2.23) | (0.09) | - 944.0 | - 1,228.6 | - 666.9 | 10% | 7% | 13% |
Women | 27.0 | 29.2 | (2.24) | (0.08) | - 748.5 | - 1,085.8 | - 415.8 | 8% | 4% | 12% |
SMOKING (%) | ||||||||||
All | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 649.6 | - 102.6 | 1,482.6 | -7% | -16% | 1% |
Men | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 532.6 | 9.0 | 988.0 | -6% | -10% | 0% |
Women | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 116.9 | - 427.8 | 643.3 | -1% | -7% | 5% |
PHYSICAL INACTIVITY (%) | ||||||||||
All | 0.11 | 0.18 | (0.08) | (0.75) | - 2,609.1 | - 3,129.3 | - 2,045.2 | 28% | 22% | 33% |
Men | 0.10 | 0.19 | (0.09) | (0.95) | - 1,500.5 | - 1,852.7 | - 1,140.9 | 16% | 12% | 20% |
Women | 0.11 | 0.18 | (0.06) | (0.58) | - 1,108.7 | - 1,473.2 | - 637.1 | 12% | 7% | 16% |
DIABETES (%) | ||||||||||
All | 0.06 | 0.09 | (0.04) | (0.58) | - 4,041.6 | - 4,842.9 | - 3,247.6 | 43% | 35% | 51% |
Men | 0.05 | 0.09 | (0.03) | (0.48) | - 1,681.1 | - 1,270.1 | - 2,301.8 | 18% | 14% | 25% |
Women | 0.06 | 0.10 | (0.04) | (0.67) | - 2,360.5 | - 1,761.5 | - 2,976.0 | 25% | 19% | 32% |
TOTAL RISK FACTORS | -11,034.1 | - 12,796.9 | - 9,605.7 | 118% | 102% | 138% |