Negative Binomial Regression |
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Number of COVID-19 Cases in County |
Number of COVID-19 Deaths in County |
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IRR | CI-95 | IRR | CI-95 | |
Distance to airport: Ref: >50 miles | ||||
25> Miles to airport | 1.416** | [1.108]-[1.810] | 1.657*** | [1.273]-[2.156] |
25-50 Miles to airport | 1.210 | [0.994]-[1.472] | 1.210 | [0.985]-[1.486] |
Num. of airport | 0.991 | [0.957]-[1.025] | 0.981 | [0.943]-[1.021] |
Volume of Airport Ref: No volume |
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Medium volume | 1.779** | [1.246]-[2.542] | 1.456 | [0.985]-[2.152] |
High volume | 0.562 | [0.261]-[1.208] | 0.358* | [0.135]-[0.954] |
Num. of train stations | 0.985 | [0.783]-[1.239] | 1.050 | [0.740]-[1.491] |
Being in counties or nearby counties with major 13 Airports | 0.477 | [0.223]-[1.020] | 0.462 | [0.165]-[1.290] |
Being an international airport | 1.197 | [0.852]-[1.683] | 1.354 | [0.902]-[2.032] |
Commute Ref: Work from home |
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Drove alone | 1.024*** | [1.016]-[1.033] | 1.029*** | [1.019]-[1.040] |
Carpooled | 1.020 | [0.979]-[1.063] | 0.986 | [0.943]-[1.032] |
Public trans | 1.155*** | [1.063]-[1.255] | 1.144** | [1.043]-[1.255] |
Walked | 0.917** | [0.869]-[0.969] | 0.952 | [0.892]-[1.016] |
Other | 1.011 | [0.925]-[1.105] | 1.051 | [0.948]-[1.165] |
Commute Traveling time | 0.994 | [0.968]-[1.022] | 1.005 | [0.970]-[1.043] |
County Population | ||||
Total county population (/1000) | 1.003*** | [1.002]-[1.005] | 1.004*** | [1.002]-[1.006] |
Population density (/100) | 0.998 | [0.996]-[1.000] | 0.997* | [0.995]-[1.000] |
N | 2891 | 2891 |
*p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001.
Sources: JHU-COVID-19 Data (Updated May 5, 2020), Airport and Amtrak Station Data (2019), ACS Data (2018)
Notes:
1) All models have been controlled by race/ethnicity groups, population, population density, number of people at household, age categories and percent of poverty.
2) We have clustered errors by state to capture states policies and interventions.