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. 2020 Sep 29;98(12):830–841D. doi: 10.2471/BLT.20.258152

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(c) 2020 The authors; licensee World Health Organization.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution IGO License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/legalcode), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. In any reproduction of this article there should not be any suggestion that WHO or this article endorse any specific organization or products. The use of the WHO logo is not permitted. This notice should be preserved along with the article's original URL.

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Fig. 6 — Number of daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 under different hypothetical scenarios, Wuhan, China, 23 January–9 August 2020

COVID-19: coronavirus disease-2019.

Notes: Scenario 1 is the number of daily confirmed cases for different opening dates of Fangcang shelter hospitals (23 or 30 January, or 2, 5 or 6 February 2020). Scenario 2 is the number of daily confirmed cases if the number of Fangcang shelter hospital beds used a day from 5 February 2020 (b₂) is 1.2, 1.5 and 2 times higher than that of the model and 0.8 times lower. Scenario 3 is the number of daily confirmed cases in the absence of Fangcang shelter hospitals if the transmission rate (β_w) is 0.2, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6 and 0.8 times lower than that of the model. Scenario 4 is the number of daily confirmed cases in the absence of Fangcang shelter hospitals if the number of beds used in designated hospitals is 1.2, 1.5 and 2 times higher than that of the model and 0.8 times lower.