Table 4. COVID-19 epidemic size and length under different hypothetical scenarios with Fangcang shelter hospitals opened on 6 February 2020, Wuhan, China.
| Scenario | Peak size, highest no. of cases a day | Peak time, days after 23 Jan | Total no. of infections | Length of epidemic, days | Total no. of deaths | Hospital beds/1000 infected persons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb | 2 701 981 | 73 | 7 413 798 | 179 | 1 396 017 | NA |
| Fangcang shelter hospital 1.2b2a | 37 497 | 26 | 48 836 | 68 | 4 290 | 2.976 |
| 7 Feb + 2 500b | 33 610 | 23 | 42 282 | 63 | 3 053 | 2.632 |
| 9 Feb + 2 500b | 36 468 | 25 | 46 747 | 67 | 4 064 | 2.893 |
| 12 Feb + 2 500b | 41 609 | 28 | 54 116 | 72 | 4 893 | 3.345 |
COVID-19: coronavirus disease-2019; NA: not applicable.
a b2 denotes number of new beds used in Fangcang shelter hospitals a day.
b Number of newly added beds.