Table 11.

The ≥ 90% probability interval for the number of MTBC‐infected animals that would be detected and confirmed every 100 relative to the current procedure considering a 24‐ or 72‐h delay in the PMI and three possible diagnostic tests.^(c)

Delay	Laboratory test	Lowest 5th percentilea	Highest 95th percentileb
24 h	Direct‐PCR	77	99
24 h	Culture	73	100
24 h	Histopathology	76	100
72 h	Direct‐PCR	74	99
72 h	Culture	65	99
72 h	Histopathology	61	97

^aLowest 5th percentile in the lower bound scenarios (scenarios 1 and 2).

^b95th percentile in the upper bound scenario (scenario 3).

There is at least 90% probability that the true value lies in the range between the lowest 5th percentile and highest 95th percentile).