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. 2020 Dec 4;38(2):439–452. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.11.010

Table 3.

Point-forecast accuracy (MAPE, %) for confirmed cases per horizon.

Rounds Horizon
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 to 4 3.6 4.6 9.8 14.7 20.5 29.1 39.5 54.5 73.9 102.6
5 to 8 2.2 2.2 3.9 5.0 7.2 9.4 11.6 14.6 18.3 21.8
9 to 12 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7
Average 2.0 2.4 4.7 6.7 9.4 13.0 17.4 23.4 31.2 42.1